Global Oil Industry Rebound Leads to Investor Gains
A recent recovery in the global oil market led to a few U.S. oil giants rewarding their investors with dividends. ConocoPhillips (COP, $79.91), a major U.S. player, is setting the trend for others to follow. By boosting its payout three times in less than two years, ConocoPhillips is all set to emerge as a viable income growth option for investors in the space.
Between 2001 to 2012, ConocoPhillips pushed its yield to well above 4%, which was more than double what the S&P 500 offered at that time. However, with the oil supply glut and the subsequent market downturn in 2016, the company aggressively slashed its payout to preserve cash.
Today, with the markets improving with production cuts and increased signs of tighter balance between supply and demand, companies like ConocoPhillips and its peers are making it a priority to reward investors. COP first raised its payout in 2017 by 6%, then further enhanced the payout by 7.5% in early 2018 and another 7% more recently.
As a part of its remodeled strategy, the company adopted both a dividend and stock repurchase program to reward investors. In terms of buybacks, the company also enhanced its original plan to buy back shares worth $3 billion.
COP in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on June 13, 2025
The 10-day moving average for COP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 13, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 08, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on COP as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COP just turned positive on July 03, 2025. Looking at past instances where COP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
COP moved above its 50-day moving average on June 26, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COP advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for COP moved out of overbought territory on June 16, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
COP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.072) is normal, around the industry mean (4.654). P/E Ratio (14.203) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.615). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.867) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.763) is also within normal values, averaging (164.964).
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General Information
a producer of wholesales oil and natural gas
Industry OilGasProduction
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