Guidewire Software (GWRE, $93.97) issues weaker-than-expected Q4 guidance
Guidewire Software plunged more than -6% Wednesday, after posting weaker-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter guidance.
For the latest quarter, the software company reported adjusted earnings of 18 cents per share, beating Wall Street consensus estimates of 8 cents per share. Its revenue of $162.9 million, also came in higher than analysts’ estimates of $155.2 million.
However, the company’s fiscal fourth quarter outlook turned out to be much lower than what analysts’ expected. Its guidance came in at 47 cents earnings per share on a revenue range of $199 million to $207 million, below forecasts of 61 cents per share on revenue $226.4 million.
GWRE in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 26, 2025
GWRE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 39 cases where GWRE's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GWRE as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GWRE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GWRE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GWRE advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 242 cases where GWRE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GWRE moved out of overbought territory on September 15, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GWRE turned negative on September 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GWRE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GWRE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.870) is normal, around the industry mean (12.481). P/E Ratio (295.235) is within average values for comparable stocks, (139.004). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.331) is also within normal values, averaging (1.829). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.094) is also within normal values, averaging (60.904).
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General Information
a provider of software products for property and casualty insurers
Industry PackagedSoftware
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