Guidewire Software (GWRE, $93.97) issues weaker-than-expected Q4 guidance

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

GWRE moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GWRE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

GWRE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GWRE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GWRE as a result. In 54 of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GWRE just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where GWRE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

The 50-day moving average for GWRE moved above the 200-day moving average on September 02, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +8.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GWRE advanced for three days, in 223 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 148 of 204 cases where GWRE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GWRE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.970) is normal, around the industry mean (51.456). P/E Ratio (89.067) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.948) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.496) is also within normal values, averaging (69.875).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GWRE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.