Heico Corporation (HEI): Navigating the -14.6% Quarterly Decline and Key Technical Levels
Key Takeaways
- HEI has experienced a sharp recent decline, trading below key moving averages including the 50-day SMA near 302 and 200-day SMA around 316, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
- RSI(14) readings near 47 suggest neutral conditions on daily charts, while oversold levels around 27 on shorter timeframes point to potential bounce opportunities.
- MACD shows negative values around -1.82 to -3.93 with sell signals, confirming downward pressure.
- Pivot points highlight near-term support at 246-277 and resistance at 279-318.
- Volume remains near average levels at approximately 630,000 shares daily, with no significant spikes noted recently.
Trend Analysis
From what I see with HEI, the stock has entered a short-term downtrend over the past quarter, dropping about 14.6% amid broader pressures in the aerospace sector. It recently broke below a five-month rectangle consolidation pattern, speeding up the decline from highs near 362 to current levels around 276-287. Year-to-date, HEI is still up 14.7%, maintaining a longer-term uptrend from the 52-week low of 241. Over the last 30 days, price action has been essentially flat at +0.01%, though a sharp single-day drop of over 5% underscores rising volatility. Weekly charts show a prevailing sell trend, while monthly signals tilt toward buy.
Support and Resistance Levels
Key support is building near recent pivot lows, with S1 levels at 246-277 across classic and Fibonacci pivots. The 52-week low around 241 acts as major downside protection. Resistance starts at the daily pivot near 278-291, then R1 at 279-319, and prior consolidation highs around 320-330. These zones match previous areas where buyers stepped in during pullbacks. One thing that stands out is that a break below 274 could lead to deeper supports, while reclaiming 290 might signal stabilization.
Moving Averages
HEI is trading below most major moving averages, which are flashing predominantly sell signals. The 10-day SMA is at 292, 20-day at 283-288, 50-day at 291-303, 100-day at 286-316, and 200-day at 284-316. Exponential MAs align similarly in bearish fashion, with price under the 10 EMA at 289 and 50 EMA at 299. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to compare against industry peers, and this setup highlights the erosion of short-term bullish momentum—though a crossover above shorter MAs could hint at a reversal.
Momentum Indicators
The momentum indicators paint a mixed picture with oversold conditions emerging. RSI(14) is between 27 (oversold on Investing.com) and 47 (neutral on TradingView), pointing to potential exhaustion in selling. Stochastic and Williams %R are deeply oversold near 15 and -96, respectively, conditions that often lead to bounces. MACD(12,26) is negative at -1.82 to -3.93 with a sell signal, backed by a high ADX above 53 showing strong downward trend strength. CCI(14) at -109 adds to the sell bias, but oversold ultimate oscillator readings suggest possible short-term relief.
Volume and Market Activity
Daily trading volume for HEI averages around 629,000 shares, with recent sessions up slightly to 652,000 during the decline. There's no sign of major spikes or unusual activity, which fits with orderly selling rather than panic. This average volume bolsters the current consolidation near lows, and I'm watching for higher participation on any breakout moves.
Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals
In my trading routine, I rely on Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals to cut through the noise on stocks like HEI. These AI-powered signals draw from massive datasets of technical indicators, price patterns, and historical trends, spotting potential entry and exit points by detecting recurring market behaviors, continuations, and reversals via machine learning models trained on decades of data. They help me confirm chart setups and make sharper decisions in volatile times. If you're analyzing similar setups, checking these signals can add valuable AI-driven perspective to your strategy.
Technical Outlook and Key Levels to Watch
I'm keeping an eye on the oversold momentum for a possible rebound to resistance at 290-300, where moving averages converge. Holding above the 277 pivot could steady the chart, potentially targeting channel up retests near 320 with rising volume. On the flip side, a drop below 274 might push toward 241 support. Watch for RSI divergence, MACD histogram changes, and Stochastic crossovers as reversal signals. The overall neutral-to-sell rating calls for caution until bullish confirmation appears.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Contributor
Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.
HEI sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
On September 22, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for HEI moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 34 of the 52 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HEI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 12 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HEI just turned positive on September 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where HEI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +2.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HEI advanced for three days, in 214 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HEI as a result. In 47 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The 10-day moving average for HEI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HEI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator for HEI entered a downward trend on September 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HEI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.606) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (50.768) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.092) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.163) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a manufacturer of aerospace products and services
Industry AerospaceDefense
Advertisement