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Dec 12, 2022
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Hello Group (MOMO, $8.93) posts fiscal Q3 revenue decrease

Hello Group (MOMO, $8.93) posts fiscal Q3 revenue decrease

Hello Group Inc.’s third-quarter FY22 net revenue fell -14% year-on-year to $454.5 million,but surpassed the consensus of $445.8 million (according to  Benzinga report).

Revenues from the Live video service plunged -23.5% year-over-year to $233.0 million. Total value-added service was up +0.3% y/y to $216.2 million, while Mobile marketing revenue decreased -34.8% Y/Y to $4.0 million. Mobile games segment revenue, at $1.1 million, was lower by -4.1% y/y.

Non-GAAP net income per ADS came in at $0.37 beat the consensus of $0.30.

Monthly Active Users (MAU) on the Momo application were 108.8 million in September 2022, down from 115.5 million in September 2021. Total paying users of its Momo app was 8.4 million in Q3 FY22, vs. 9.3 million in Q3 FY21.

For Q4, Hello is expecting a revenue decrease of -11.5% to -14.3% Y/Y (i.e. implying $460.5 million - $475.1 million of revenue-- above analysts’ expectations of $454.3 million, according to a Benzinga report).

Related Ticker: MOMO

MOMO in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026

MOMO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 33 of 45 cases where MOMO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOMO advanced for three days, in 171 of 255 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MOMO as a result. In 70 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MOMO turned negative on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MOMO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator for MOMO entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 10 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.059) is normal, around the industry mean (1.005). P/E Ratio (0.633) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-47.882). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.920) is also within normal values, averaging (17.274). Dividend Yield (0.255) settles around the average of (0.989) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.535) is also within normal values, averaging (71.888).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MOMO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MOMO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Snap (NYSE:SNAP), Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 124.36B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107 to 3.42T. GOOGL holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.42T. The lowest valued company is STBXF at 107.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15%. GIBO experienced the highest price growth at 44%, while RDDT experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was 150%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 50% and the average quarterly volume growth was 21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a holding company, which through its subsidiaries operates a mobile-based social networking platform

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

Industry
Internet Software Or Services
Address
Jiuxianqiao North Road
Phone
+86 1057310567
Employees
1400
Web
https://www.hellogroup.com
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