Hormel Foods (HRL, $47.36) misses fiscal Q3 earnings expectations, while beating revenue estimate
Hormel Foods posted its fiscal third-quarter earnings that missed analyst’ expectations, even as revenue surpassed estimates.
The consumer food company’s sales in the quarter grew +6% from the year-ago period to $3.03 billion, above the consensus of $2.98 billion (as reported in Benzinga). Earnings per share of $0.40 , however, came in below the analyst consensus of $0.41.
Net sales for Refrigerated Foods rose +2% year-over-year and that for Grocery Products climbed +25%, while Jennie-O Turkey Store decreased -8%, and International & other sales fell -5%.
Hormel’s gross margin in the quarter expanded +190 basis points from the year-ago to 16.7%.
For full fiscal year 2022, Hormel boosted its sales outlook to a range of $12.2 billion to $12.8 billion from prior guidance of $11.7 billion to $12.5 billion . The consensus is $12.45 billion.
The company cut its EPS outlook to $1.78 to $1.85, from previous forecast of $1.87 to $1.97. Analysts’ consensus is $1.88.
HRL's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HRL turned positive on October 15, 2024. Looking at past instances where HRL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HRL advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HRL moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 28, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HRL as a result. In of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
HRL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for HRL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for HRL moved below the 200-day moving average on September 26, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HRL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
HRL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for HRL entered a downward trend on October 17, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.443) is normal, around the industry mean (6.522). P/E Ratio (24.124) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.887). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.051) is also within normal values, averaging (2.471). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.582) is also within normal values, averaging (66.610).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. HRL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HRL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a manufacturer of meat products and other prepared foods
Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy