Do the rising interest rates started to take a toll on new home buyers? Maybe! At least new home sales missed most analyst’s expectations.
Here are the hard numbers: the new home sales decreased 5.3% month-over-month in June to a seasonally adjusted rate of 631,000. The number itself does not tell you much, of course. Moreover, it is significantly below most the estimates (O.K. – what a big deal? Most analysts are wrong most of the time anyway). But what is important is that the June decline is the largest monthly drop since December – and the prices declined as well.
The median sales price decreased by 4.2% year-over-year to $302,000 (Bay Area residents – do not laugh – these new buyers were not buying garages – but real houses). The average price decreased by 2.0% to $363,300.
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ITB's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ITB advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ITB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 347 cases where ITB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 04, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ITB as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ITB turned negative on April 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
ITB moved below its 50-day moving average on April 10, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ITB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ITB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Category ConsumerDiscretionary