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published in Blogs
Jun 12, 2023

HOV's Investment Soars with Tickeron's Robot: +4.00% Increase Attained

The Swing Trader robot, accessible at Swing Trader: High Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA), has recently demonstrated its prowess by generating a remarkable 4,00% gain while trading HOV over the previous week. One of the key factors behind this success was the implementation of the Aroon Indicator, which triggered a bullish signal on June 08, 2023. In this article, we will delve into the analysis of the earning results and explore how the Aroon Indicator played a vital role in this impressive performance.

Analyzing the Aroon Indicator: The Aroon Indicator, a popular technical analysis tool, measures the strength of a trend and the likelihood of a trend reversal. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, a leading AI-powered trading platform, detected a bullish signal on HOV by examining the AroonUp green line and the AroonDown red line. When the AroonUp line rises above 70 and the AroonDown line remains below 30, it suggests that the stock may be preparing for a bullish move.

Historical Data and Probability Analysis: To gauge the reliability of the Aroon Indicator's bullish signal, A.I.dvisor analyzed 224 instances where a similar pattern was observed. In an impressive 88% of these cases (196 out of 224), the stock moved higher in the subsequent days. This statistical analysis underscores the potential effectiveness of the Aroon Indicator and provides traders with valuable insights to make informed decisions.

Implications for Traders: Based on the Aroon Indicator's bullish signal and the historical probability analysis, traders are presented with multiple potential strategies. They may consider buying the HOV stock itself, anticipating a price increase in the coming days. Alternatively, traders could explore the option of purchasing call options, leveraging the anticipated bullish move to amplify their potential gains.

The Role of AI in Trading Success: The exceptional performance of the Swing Trader robot in generating a 4,00% gain exemplifies the power of AI-driven trading systems. By leveraging sophisticated algorithms and analyzing vast amounts of data, AI platforms like Tickeron's A.I.dvisor can identify patterns and trends that may elude human traders. This allows traders to make more informed decisions based on objective analysis, increasing the probability of success.

The Swing Trader robot's recent success in trading HOV highlights the efficacy of the Aroon Indicator as a valuable tool for identifying potential bullish moves. With an impressive historical accuracy rate of 88%, traders can rely on this indicator to make informed decisions and maximize their potential gains.

Related Ticker: HOV

HOV in +4.29% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on September 28, 2023

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where HOV advanced for three days, in of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HOV's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

HOV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 15, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HOV as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HOV turned negative on September 15, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

HOV moved below its 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for HOV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 27, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HOV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for HOV entered a downward trend on August 29, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HOV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.784) is normal, around the industry mean (5.742). P/E Ratio (4.794) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.984). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.524). HOV has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (0.252) is also within normal values, averaging (71.793).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 5.11B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 36.59B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 36.59B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. UHG experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while STHI experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -40%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -30%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 53
Profit Risk Rating: 61
Seasonality Score: -16 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a constructor of single-family detached homes, attached town homes and condominiums

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
90 Matawan Road
Phone
+1 732 747-7800
Employees
1866
Web
https://www.khov.com
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HOV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HOV has been closely correlated with TMHC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HOV jumps, then TMHC could also see price increases.

1D
1W
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6M
1Y
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Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To HOV
1D Price
Change %
HOV100%
+3.97%
TMHC - HOV
73%
Closely correlated
+1.79%
TOL - HOV
73%
Closely correlated
+1.51%
LGIH - HOV
71%
Closely correlated
+1.60%
KBH - HOV
71%
Closely correlated
+2.14%
MTH - HOV
70%
Closely correlated
+1.93%
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