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published in Blogs
Aug 07, 2018
How Big Banks Are Doing AfterTax Cuts

How Big Banks Are Doing AfterTax Cuts

Following corporate tax cuts in December, major U.S. banks have been reducing costs and planning hikes on shareholder payments.

According to data compiled by Bloomberg, 23 banks regarded as most important by the Federal Reserve (and hence subject to the central bank’s stress tests) each saved $388 million on average in the first half of the year. The banks slashed 3,200 jobs in aggregate, while decided to boost shareholder payouts by more than $28 billion through mid-2019.

JPMorgan, Bank of America Corp., Wells Fargo & Co., Citigroup Inc.,Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley – raked in more than $29 billion in net earnings in each of this year’s first two quarters – in large part due to lower corporate tax rates.

Related Ticker: MS

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


MS in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026

MS moved below its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 27 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MS as a result. In 40 of 71 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MS turned negative on September 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 57%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

The Aroon Indicator for MS entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 58 cases where MS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

MS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.854) is normal, around the industry mean (4.351). P/E Ratio (15.641) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.023). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.702) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.380) is also within normal values, averaging (16.763).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Charles Schwab Corp (The) (NYSE:SCHW), Gold.com Inc. (NYSE:GOLD).

Industry description

These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry is 12.69B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 590 to 304.12B. MS holds the highest valuation in this group at 304.12B. The lowest valued company is FSSLD at 590.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. XP experienced the highest price growth at 47%, while MEGL experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was -8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -10% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 66
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 23 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of diversified financial services including brokerage, investment management and venture capital services

Industry InvestmentBanksBrokers

Industry
Investment Banks Or Brokers
Address
1585 Broadway
Phone
+1 212 761-4000
Employees
83000
Web
https://www.morganstanley.com
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