Inflation rate slows, as energy prices cool off
U.S. inflation slowed again last month, even as core consumer price index accelerated.
The headline consumer price index (CPI) in August rose +8.3% year-over-year, compared to +8.5% in July. The figure, however, exceeded the Street consensus forecast of 8.1%.
While the energy price fell -5% from the year-ago period, food price inflation came in at +11.4% y/y (the fastest pace since April 1979).
The core inflation gauge, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy prices, climbed +6.3% year-over-year, beating the Street forecasts.
GOVT's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT turned positive on August 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVT as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GOVT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where GOVT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOVT moved below its 50-day moving average on July 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for GOVT entered a downward trend on August 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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Category IntermediateGovernment
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