Sarah Patel's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 28, 2022

Intel (INTC, $28.88) tops Q3 earnings expectations

Intel Corp.’s shares rose +5.7% in pre-market trading Friday, following the company’s third-quarter earnings beat.

The chip company’s earnings for the quarter came in at $1.01 billion, or 25 cents a share, compared with $6.82 billion, or $1.67 a share, in the year-ago quarter.  After adjusting for restructuring charges and other items, earnings were 59 cents a share, compared with $1.45 a share from a year ago. Analysts polled by FactSet expected earnings of 34 cents a share

Revenue fell to $15.39 billion from $19.19 billion in the year-ago quarter. Analysts expected revenue of $15.31 billion (based on FactSet).

Intel’s Client-computing division sales decreased - 17% year-over-year to $8.1 billion. Sales in the data-center and AI group fell  -27% to $4.2 billion.  “Network and edge” sales climbed +14% to $2.3 billion, while Mobileye revenue was up +38% to $450 million.

Gross margins dropped to 45.9% from 58.3% in the year-ago period.

Intel lowered its full-year earnings outlook to  $1.95 a share (vs. Wall Street expectation of of $2.20 a share). Its revenue guidance is $63 billion to $64 billion, (vs. the Street estimates of $65.3 billion.

Related Ticker: INTC

Momentum Indicator for INTC turns negative, indicating new downward trend

INTC saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on May 11, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on May 11, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 17, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on May 08, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where INTC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for INTC moved above the 200-day moving average on May 04, 2023. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.166) is normal, around the industry mean (6.817). P/E Ratio (16.010) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.245). INTC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (8.391) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.528). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.008) is also within normal values, averaging (11.226).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 25.79B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 939.29B. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 939.29B. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 12%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. WKEY experienced the highest price growth at 71%, while SLOIF experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 71%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 132% and the average quarterly volume growth was 505%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 47
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 64
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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