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Jul 31, 2022
Intel (INTC, $36.31) disappoints on Q2 revenue and full-year outlook

Intel (INTC, $36.31) disappoints on Q2 revenue and full-year outlook

Intel reported its second quarterly earnings that heavily fell short of analysts’ expectations. The tech giant’s outlook for the full-year is also weaker than the Street estimates.

Adjusted earnings came in at 29 cents per share, well below the  70 cents per share  expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

Revenue decreased 22% from the year-ago quarter to $15.32 billion. It fell short of analysts' expectations of $17.92 billion -- the 14% miss is the company’s largest  since 1999, according to Refinitiv data. It has a $454 million net loss as of the quarter’s end, compared with net income of $5 billion in the year-ago quarter.

CEO Pat Gelsinger attributed the weak performance primarily to the “sudden and rapid decline in economic activity” but also mentioned the company’s internal execution issues in areas like product design, and the ramp of AXG [Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics Group] offerings.

For the third quarter, Intel is expecting 35 cents in adjusted earnings per share, much lower than the 86 cents that analysts polled by Refinitiv expected. The company offered its guidance on revenue at $15 billion to $16 billion, vs. analysts’ $18.62 billion.

Looking further ahead, Intel lowered its full-year outlook on adjusted earnings  to $2.30 per share (vs. $3.60 in prior guidance from 3 months ago). It predicts revenue in the range of  $65 billion to $68 billion, vs. previous expectation of $76.0 billion in revenue. Analysts polled by Refinitiv were expecting $74.34 billion in revenue.

Related Ticker: INTC

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for INTC turns positive, indicating new upward trend

INTC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 04, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 95 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 95 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for INTC just turned positive on September 03, 2026. Looking at past instances where INTC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on August 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.784) is normal, around the industry mean (7.279). INTC's P/E Ratio (904.167) is considerably higher than the industry average of (156.799). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (1.628). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.244) is also within normal values, averaging (54.185).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 204.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 5.56T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.56T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 45%. CBRS experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while CRDO experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was -38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of computer components and related products

Industry Semiconductors

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