Intel (INTC, $36.31) disappoints on Q2 revenue and full-year outlook
Intel reported its second quarterly earnings that heavily fell short of analysts’ expectations. The tech giant’s outlook for the full-year is also weaker than the Street estimates.
Adjusted earnings came in at 29 cents per share, well below the 70 cents per share expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue decreased 22% from the year-ago quarter to $15.32 billion. It fell short of analysts' expectations of $17.92 billion -- the 14% miss is the company’s largest since 1999, according to Refinitiv data. It has a $454 million net loss as of the quarter’s end, compared with net income of $5 billion in the year-ago quarter.
CEO Pat Gelsinger attributed the weak performance primarily to the “sudden and rapid decline in economic activity” but also mentioned the company’s internal execution issues in areas like product design, and the ramp of AXG [Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics Group] offerings.
For the third quarter, Intel is expecting 35 cents in adjusted earnings per share, much lower than the 86 cents that analysts polled by Refinitiv expected. The company offered its guidance on revenue at $15 billion to $16 billion, vs. analysts’ $18.62 billion.
Looking further ahead, Intel lowered its full-year outlook on adjusted earnings to $2.30 per share (vs. $3.60 in prior guidance from 3 months ago). It predicts revenue in the range of $65 billion to $68 billion, vs. previous expectation of $76.0 billion in revenue. Analysts polled by Refinitiv were expecting $74.34 billion in revenue.
INTC in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on June 16, 2025
The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 16, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 09, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on INTC as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for INTC just turned positive on June 10, 2025. Looking at past instances where INTC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
INTC moved above its 50-day moving average on June 16, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 151 cases where INTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
INTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.983) is normal, around the industry mean (9.368). P/E Ratio (97.750) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.626). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (2.351). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.825) is also within normal values, averaging (36.831).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
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a manufacturer of computer components and related products
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