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Jan 29, 2022
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Intel (INTC, $47.73) crushes fiscal Q4 expectations

Intel (INTC, $47.73) crushes fiscal Q4 expectations

Intel reported fiscal fourth-quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations,

The cloud computing company’s adjusted earnings came in at $1.09, handily topping the $0.91 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

Revenue of $19.5 billion also exceeded analysts’ estimate of $18.31 billion.

The company expected $18.3 billion in adjusted sales in the first quarter of 2022, higher than consensus expectations of $17.62 billion.

Revenue from Intel’s Client Computing Group – its largest business - fell -7% year-over-year to $10.1 billion. However, the figure was still higher than analysts’ average estimate of $9.6 billion, (according to FactSet poll).

According to CNBC, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger said in an interview that the annual decrease in the group was a result of customers and PC makers shifting sales from quarter to quarter.

Revenue from  Data Center Group rose +20% year-over-year to $7.3 billion, also beating expectations of $6.7 billion.

Related Ticker: INTC

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


INTC in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026

INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 24 of 31 cases where INTC's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for INTC's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Following a +5.59% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 231 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 46 of 60 cases where INTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In 67 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.

INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.971) is normal, around the industry mean (6.050). P/E Ratio (-31.464) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.007). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.696) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 201.6B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 86.8K to 4.94T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.94T. The lowest valued company is STRB at 86.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -19%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16%. SIMO experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while INTC experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 176%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 131% and the average quarterly volume growth was 2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of computer components and related products

Industry Semiconductors

Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2200 Mission College Boulevard
Phone
+1 408 765-8080
Employees
85100
Web
https://www.intel.com
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