GET DAILY SIGNALSIntel (INTC, $47.93) shares fall on margin headwind, data center weakness and chip delay news
Shares of semiconductor company Intel were down more than -11% Friday morning. On Thursday, the company reported its third-quarter earnings that were in line with expectations; but it also revealed weakness in its data center business and reaffirmed the delay of its latest-generation chips.
Intel’s third quarter non-GAAP earnings came in at $1.11 per share on revenues of $18.3 billion.
However, data center and personal computer sales reflected cheaper semiconductors putting pressure on the group's gross margins, which were around 200 basis points below the company's prior guidance at 55%.
The company’s Data Center Group experienced a -7% decline in revenue in the quarter.
Looking ahead, Intel boosted its full-year non-GAAP earnings outlook to $4.90 per share, a 5 cents per share increase from its summer forecast. It projects fourth quarter revenues of around $17.4 billion.
"2020 has been the most challenging year in my career with a global pandemic geopolitical tensions challenging business principles of globalization and social unrest," CEO Bob Swan told investors. "Despite all this, we expect to deliver the best year in our storied 52-year history."
In July, Intel delayed its 7 nanometer processors until 2022 for computers and the following year for servers. The company could begin depending on other companies to manufacture its chips, but likely won’t be provide more information until January, according to CEO Bob Swan.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
INTC's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for INTC moved out of oversold territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 20 of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +5.59% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 231 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In 70 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on October 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 34 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.560) is normal, around the industry mean (6.493). P/E Ratio (-44.053) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.736). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.696) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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a manufacturer of computer components and related products
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