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Oct 23, 2020
Intel (INTC, $47.93) shares fall on margin headwind, data center weakness and chip delay news

Intel (INTC, $47.93) shares fall on margin headwind, data center weakness and chip delay news

Shares of semiconductor company Intel were down more than -11% Friday morning. On Thursday, the  company reported its third-quarter earnings that were in line with expectations; but it also revealed weakness in its data center business and reaffirmed the delay of its latest-generation chips.

Intel’s third quarter non-GAAP earnings came in at $1.11 per share on revenues of $18.3 billion.

However, data center and personal computer sales reflected cheaper semiconductors putting pressure on the group's gross margins, which were around 200 basis points below the company's prior guidance at 55%.

The company’s Data Center Group experienced a -7% decline in revenue in the quarter.

Looking ahead, Intel boosted its full-year non-GAAP earnings outlook to $4.90 per share, a 5 cents per share increase from its summer forecast. It projects fourth quarter revenues of around $17.4 billion.

"2020 has been the most challenging year in my career with a global pandemic geopolitical tensions challenging business principles of globalization and social unrest," CEO Bob Swan told investors. "Despite all this, we expect to deliver the best year in our storied 52-year history."

In July, Intel delayed its 7 nanometer processors until 2022 for computers and the following year for servers. The company could begin depending on other companies to manufacture its chips, but likely won’t be provide more information until January, according to CEO Bob Swan.

 

Related Ticker: INTC

INTC sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

INTC saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 01, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on July 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 173 cases where INTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.647) is normal, around the industry mean (16.983). INTC has a moderately high P/E Ratio (904.167) as compared to the industry average of (235.360). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (1.821). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.033) is also within normal values, averaging (47.494).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 202.49B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 5.15T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.15T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -10%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -15%, and the average quarterly price growth was 40%. LEDS experienced the highest price growth at 69%, while CRDO experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 32%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -39% and the average quarterly volume growth was -29%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 43
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of computer components and related products

Industry Semiconductors

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