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Dec 30, 2020
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Intel (INTC, $49.39) urged to explore strategic options by hedge fund Third Point

Intel (INTC, $49.39) urged to explore strategic options by hedge fund Third Point

 Activist hedge fund Third Point LLC is urging Intel Corp. to explore strategic alternatives, according to a letter it sent to the company’s chairman on Tuesday.

The alternatives include decisions such as whether Intel should keep chip design and production arms under one entity. It could also lead to the unwinding of some of its acquisitions, such as the $16.7 billion purchase of Altera in 2015 (as reported by Reuters).

Third Point has nearly $1 billion stake in Intel, according to people familiar with the matter(as reported by Reuters).

Reuters reported that Third Point Chief Executive Daniel Loeb wrote to Intel Chairman Omar Ishrak pushing for immediate action to bolster the company’s position as a major provider of processor chips for PCs and data centers.  According to Loeb’s letter, Intel has lost its pole position in microprocessor manufacturing to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co and South Korea’s Samsung Electronics Co Ltd.

The letter also mentioned addressing Intel’s “human capital management issue,” as an urgent action, as many of its highly skilled chip designers have left “demoralized by the status quo”.

Furthermore, the letter  suggested that Intel is losing its market share in PC and data center segments to Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

 In artificial intelligence applications, NVIDIA Corp is dominating computational models, while Intel has almost no presence in this relatively new market, according to the letter.

Loeb is concerned that without immediate action from Intel, the U.S. might have to depend more heavily on “a geopolitically unstable East Asia to power everything from PCs to data centers to critical infrastructure and more”, as mentioned in the letter. Loed wrote that Intel customers, such as Apple Inc, Microsoft Corp and Amazon.com Inc, are developing their own in-house silicon solutions and sending those designs to be manufactured in East Asia; Loeb advised that Intel must have new solutions for retaining customers versus having  them send their manufacturing away.

Intel responded, “Intel welcomes input from all investors regarding enhanced shareholder value. In that spirit, we look forward to engaging with Third Point LLC on their ideas towards that goal.”

Related Ticker: INTC

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


INTC's Stochastic Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 6 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

Following a +13.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 226 of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.398) is normal, around the industry mean (5.443). P/E Ratio (-26.928) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.696) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 180.14B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 86.8K to 4.51T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.51T. The lowest valued company is STRB at 86.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26%. INDI experienced the highest price growth at 52%, while MCHP experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 48%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 112% and the average quarterly volume growth was -52%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of computer components and related products

Industry Semiconductors

Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2200 Mission College Boulevard
Phone
+1 408 765-8080
Employees
85100
Web
https://www.intel.com
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