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Feb 22, 2019
Intel (INTC, $51.41) jumps +3% on Morgan Stanley's rating upgrade and price target hike

Intel (INTC, $51.41) jumps +3% on Morgan Stanley's rating upgrade and price target hike

Intel Corp. shares surged nearly +3% Friday, following an upgrade by Morgan Stanley.

Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore mentioned in a note to clients that he was revising rating on Intel to overweight from equal weight. He also raised price target for Intel stock to $64 a share from $55 a share, while expressing optimism about the chipmaker’s interim CEO Bob Swan, referring to him as “a more financially oriented CEO”.

Swan took over the role of CEO around January-end, following the June 2018 resignation of Brian Krzanich. According to Intel, Krzanich violated Intel's non-fraternization policy.  Swan, 58, had served as chief financial officer at eBay Inc. for nine years, before joining Intel in 2016.

With regards to the rating upgrade, Moore also appreciated what he felt was Intel’s increased focus on free cash flow over earnings, alongwith better M&A accretion. Moore said,  "we see the multiple expanding from 12x to 14x in our base case.” 

Related Ticker: INTC

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


INTC in +14.05% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on September 22, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 226 of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

INTC moved above its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for INTC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 117 of 174 cases where INTC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for INTC moved out of overbought territory on September 25, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 81%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 60 cases where INTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In 73 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

INTC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 32 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.008) is normal, around the industry mean (7.902). INTC's P/E Ratio (904.167) is considerably higher than the industry average of (163.223). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (3.705). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.696) is also within normal values, averaging (45.163).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 216.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 86.8K to 5.53T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.53T. The lowest valued company is STRB at 86.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 11%, and the average quarterly price growth was 52%. WOLF experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while MOBX experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -0% and the average quarterly volume growth was -57%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 41
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of computer components and related products

Industry Semiconductors

Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2200 Mission College Boulevard
Phone
+1 408 765-8080
Employees
85100
Web
https://www.intel.com
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