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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 20, 2018
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Is American Dream alive?

Is American Dream alive?

Home, sweet home! A new generation of the millennials is dreaming about buying their first home, right? And they are doing it. But do they regret their decision? The alarming and rather surprising survey by Bank of the West of about 600 millennials found out that about 4 in 10 millennials are already homeowners. Great news! However, whooping 68% are feeling buyer’s remorse and regret their decision.

There are many reasons for that, but the main ones are overspending on the down payment, underestimating the maintenance costs, and not being able to afford the home they really like – and therefore making a compromise on the house they buy.

Sometimes the news are not what they seem to be.

Related Ticker: ITB

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for ITB turns positive, indicating new upward trend

ITB saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 74 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 66 of the 74 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ITB just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where ITB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

ITB moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ITB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Following a +5.29% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ITB advanced for three days, in 264 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ITB moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 78%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 58 of 68 cases where ITB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ITB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

ITB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ITB entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Owens Corning (NYSE:OC), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index composed of U.S. equities in the home construction sector. The index measures the performance of the home construction sector of the U.S. equity market, as defined by the index provider. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and may invest up to 20% of its assets in certain futures, options and swap contracts, cash and cash equivalents. It is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) ETF is 24.63B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 88.5M to 342.68B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 342.68B. The lowest valued company is JELD at 88.5M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) ETF was 17%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 53%, and the average quarterly price growth was 153%. BOBS experienced the highest price growth at 25%, while ROCK experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) ETF was -20%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 19% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 36
Price Growth Rating: 43
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 48 (-100 ... +100)
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