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published in Blogs
Jul 19, 2018
Is Texas the Next Oil Superpower?

Is Texas the Next Oil Superpower?

Texas could surpass Iraq and Iran in oil production by next year, as suggested by a HSBC analysis.

The rapid explosion of oil output from the state could catapult Texas to the position of the 3rd highest oil producer (behind Russia and Saudi Arabia)  if it were a country, according to HSBC.

The two major oilfields of the state, the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford are projected to pump a combined output of 5.6 million barrels per day in 2019 – compared to 2.5 million barrels per day in 2014, according to HSBC analysis. Iraq and Iran are estimated to produce 4.8 million and 3 million barrels per day respectively next year.

However, it remains to be seen if the Permian Basin can resolve its existing infrastructural/ logistical bottlenecks such as pipeline shortages, and how far it can channel its massive production potential into effective supply networks.

Related Ticker: BP

Momentum Indicator for BP turns positive, indicating new upward trend

BP saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 27, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 99 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 99 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BP just turned positive on March 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where BP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BP advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 286 cases where BP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 46, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.954) is normal, around the industry mean (1.490). BP's P/E Ratio (1982.353) is considerably higher than the industry average of (121.666). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.165) is also within normal values, averaging (2.098). Dividend Yield (0.049) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.566) is also within normal values, averaging (1.108).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 74.68B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 628.18B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 628.18B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 24%. REPYF experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while SLNG experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -99% and the average quarterly volume growth was -98%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 45
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 46
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. BP showed earnings on February 10, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a producer of petroleum, natural gas and related products

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
Fundamentals
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Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
1 St James's Square
Phone
+44 2074964000
Employees
87800
Web
https://www.bp.com
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Is Texas the Next Oil Superpower?