Johnson & Johnson Joins the Vaccine Fray - Will Its Stock Join Too?
Stocks like Moderna and Novovax have enjoyed sharp rallies in the swirl of coverage about Covid-19 vaccines. Missing from the action to date has been Johnson & Johnson, which has quietly developed another messenger RNA vaccine to join those already approved and in circulation. Johnson & Johnson's vaccine only requires one shot, which could make it easier to distribute in large quantities, faster.
Results from a large clinical trial just hit the tape this week, with Johnson & Johnson's vaccine proving 66% effective at protecting people from moderate to severe disease. While this number is lower than previous efficacy rates published by the likes of Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech, Johnson & Johnson's figures may be lower due to the existence of new strains of the coronavirus. Nevertheless, experts stay the vaccine should still provide strong protection.
So where does JNJ's stock stand as it prepares to obtain approval for its vaccine shot? Is it a potential buy as investors rotate to new vaccine makers just hitting the market? Tickeron's A.I. digs into the issue below, running a deep analysis on six Covid-19 vaccine plays.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
JNJ's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 1 day
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +0.47% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JNJ advanced for three days, in 165 of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 47%.
JNJ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 115 of 260 cases where JNJ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 44%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JNJ as a result. In 37 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JNJ turned negative on September 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 43%.
JNJ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JNJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 12 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.710) is normal, around the industry mean (19.199). P/E Ratio (31.549) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.793). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.852) is also within normal values, averaging (5.738). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.658) is also within normal values, averaging (4.033).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JNJ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an investment holding company with interests in health care products
Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor
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