JP Morgan (JPM, $100.94) Misses Earnings Estimate; But Has +70% Growth in Profit
Despite registering a solid year-over-year increase in the fourth quarter, JP Morgan’s profit fell short of analysts’ expectations.
The bank's earnings per share of $1.98 was below the $2.20 per share average estimate of analysts surveyed by Refinitiv. This is the first time in 15 years that JP Morgan profit missed quarterly estimates - and the bank’s trading desks are apparently to blame. Producing $1.86 billion in revenue, the fixed-income trading segment fell short of the $2.2 billion estimate.
The company's total revenue increased +4 percent to $26.8 billion, but was slightly below analysts' $26.84 billion estimate.
Nevertheless, the bank raked in $7.1 billion in total profit – which is nearly +70% higher compared to the year ago period. It is also a fourth quarter record. The firm also experienced a +9% increase to $14.5 billion in net interest income on loan growth and rising interest rates. Its net interest margin of 2.54 percent was 3 basis points higher from the previous quarter, and matched analysts' expectations.
JPM sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for JPM moved above the 200-day moving average on June 05, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JPM as a result. In of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JPM just turned positive on June 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where JPM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JPM moved above its 50-day moving average on June 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for JPM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 318 cases where JPM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for JPM moved out of overbought territory on June 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 55 cases where JPM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
JPM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 24, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. JPM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (2.582) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.888). P/E Ratio (15.868) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.738) is also within normal values, averaging (1.721). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.902) is also within normal values, averaging (4.002).
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a major bank
Industry MajorBanks
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