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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 11, 2020

Keurig Dr. Pepper's (KDP, $28.68) largest shareholder is selling 10.1% stake

Beverage company Keurig Dr. Pepper's  largest shareholder Maple Holdings B.V. (a subsidiary of JAB Holdings B.V.) , is planning to sell a 10.1% stake.  The stake represents around 143 million common shares.

The shares will be distributed to minority partners, who are affiliates of BDT Capital Partners, affiliates of Quadrant Capital Advisors and the JAB Consumer Fund.

Maple owned 868.75 million shares, or 61.7% of Keurig's shares outstanding, as of May 20. After the sale, JAB and subsidiary Maple will jointly own 52.6% of Keurig Dr Pepper.

KDP enters an Uptrend as Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 15, 2020

This indicator signals that KDP's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 46 of 83 cases where KDP's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%

Current price $28.69 crossed the resistance line at $28.31 and is trading between $29.11 resistance and $28.31 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/08/20 - 06/10/20, the price experienced a +8% Uptrend. During the week of 06/03/20 - 06/10/20, the stock enjoyed a +0.10% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where KDP's MACD histogram became positive, in 23 of 46 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 50%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 120 of 280 similar cases where KDP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 43%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 29 of 62 cases where KDP's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 47%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 28 of 49 cases where KDP's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 57%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 49%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.62 to 1.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KDP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.77) is normal, around the industry mean (1.19). P/E Ratio (34.29) is within average values for comparable stocks, (88.06). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (0.92). Dividend Yield (2.07) settles around the average of (1.31) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.07) is also within normal values, averaging (3.28).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Related Ticker: KDP

KDP in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on February 21, 2025

The 10-day moving average for KDP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 21, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

KDP moved above its 50-day moving average on February 18, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KDP advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 293 cases where KDP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for KDP moved out of overbought territory on February 26, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KDP as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KDP turned negative on March 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KDP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

KDP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.646) is normal, around the industry mean (77.968). P/E Ratio (20.155) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.456). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.482) is also within normal values, averaging (5.903). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.970) is also within normal values, averaging (3.240).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KDP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP).

Industry description

Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry is 22.49B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.77K to 263.76B. KO holds the highest valuation in this group at 263.76B. The lowest valued company is BVNNF at 1.77K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. UPCHY experienced the highest price growth at 25%, while YERBF experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was 65%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 6 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CONSUMER STAPLES ETFs
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General Information

a manufacturer of non-alcoholic beverages

Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Beverages Non Alcoholic
Address
53 South Avenue
Phone
+1 781 418-7000
Employees
28100
Web
https://www.keurigdrpepper.com
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