Kroger (KR, $38.91) beats Q1 expectations; boosts full-year guidance
Supermarket company Kroger posted adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share for the first quarter, that exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 99 cents. However, the figure is lower than the year-ago quarter’s $1.22.
Sales fell -0.6% year-over-year to $41,298 million, but surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $39,222 million. Excluding fuel, sales were -4% lower than the year-ago period.
Kroger’s digital sales rose +16%; without fuel, they fell -4.1%.
Gross margin shrunk -170 basis points to 22.6%. FIFO gross margin, excluding fuel, contracted -65 basis points from the year-ago period.
For 2021, Kroger is expecting adjusted profit per share between $2.95 and $3.10, compared with its prior expectation of $2.75 to $2.95. It projects 2021 adjusted same-store sales to fall up to -4%, vs. prior forecast of up to -5% decline.
Momentum Indicator for KR turns positive, indicating new upward trend
KR saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on December 10, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 105 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 105 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KR advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 260 cases where KR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KR moved out of overbought territory on December 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 75 cases where KR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KR turned negative on December 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
KR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.537) is normal, around the industry mean (4.678). P/E Ratio (19.253) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.294). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.392) is also within normal values, averaging (2.705). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.275) is also within normal values, averaging (56.159).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an operator of supermarkets and convenience stores
Industry FoodRetail