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Jun 18, 2021
Kroger (KR, $38.91) beats Q1 expectations; boosts full-year guidance

Kroger (KR, $38.91) beats Q1 expectations; boosts full-year guidance

Supermarket company Kroger posted adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share for the first quarter, that exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 99 cents. However, the figure is lower than the year-ago quarter’s  $1.22.

Sales fell -0.6% year-over-year to  $41,298 million, but surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $39,222 million. Excluding fuel, sales were -4% lower than the year-ago period.

Kroger’s digital sales rose +16%; without fuel, they fell -4.1%.

Gross margin shrunk -170 basis points to 22.6%. FIFO gross margin, excluding fuel, contracted -65 basis points from the year-ago period.

For 2021, Kroger is expecting adjusted profit per share between $2.95 and $3.10, compared with its prior expectation of $2.75 to $2.95. It projects 2021 adjusted same-store sales to fall up to -4%, vs. prior forecast of  up to -5% decline.

Related Ticker: KR

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for KR turns positive, indicating new upward trend

KR saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 98 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 62 of the 98 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 63%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KR just turned positive on September 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where KR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 57 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

KR moved above its 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for KR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.

Following a +6.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KR advanced for three days, in 167 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 111 of 213 cases where KR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for KR moved out of overbought territory on September 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 55%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 35 of 71 cases where KR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

KR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.068) is normal, around the industry mean (3.551). P/E Ratio (32.432) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.837). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.588) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.258) is also within normal values, averaging (10.259).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Kroger Co (The) (NYSE:KR).

Industry description

The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food Retail Industry is 4.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 80 to 51.04B. LBLCF holds the highest valuation in this group at 51.04B. The lowest valued company is MFLTY at 80.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food Retail Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. NGVC experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while VHUB experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food Retail Industry was -14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 37
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: -47 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of supermarkets and convenience stores

Industry FoodRetail

Profile
Details
Industry
Food Retail
Address
1014 Vine Street
Phone
+1 513 762-4000
Employees
403000
Web
https://www.thekrogerco.com
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