Kroger (KR, $38.91) beats Q1 expectations; boosts full-year guidance
Supermarket company Kroger posted adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share for the first quarter, that exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 99 cents. However, the figure is lower than the year-ago quarter’s $1.22.
Sales fell -0.6% year-over-year to $41,298 million, but surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $39,222 million. Excluding fuel, sales were -4% lower than the year-ago period.
Kroger’s digital sales rose +16%; without fuel, they fell -4.1%.
Gross margin shrunk -170 basis points to 22.6%. FIFO gross margin, excluding fuel, contracted -65 basis points from the year-ago period.
For 2021, Kroger is expecting adjusted profit per share between $2.95 and $3.10, compared with its prior expectation of $2.75 to $2.95. It projects 2021 adjusted same-store sales to fall up to -4%, vs. prior forecast of up to -5% decline.
KR's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KR turned positive on July 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where KR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 14, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KR as a result. In of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
KR moved above its 50-day moving average on June 20, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 27, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KR advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KR moved out of overbought territory on June 25, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
KR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 20, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for KR entered a downward trend on June 18, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. KR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.537) is normal, around the industry mean (4.691). P/E Ratio (19.253) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.256). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.392) is also within normal values, averaging (2.705). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.275) is also within normal values, averaging (57.429).
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General Information
an operator of supermarkets and convenience stores
Industry FoodRetail
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