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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 21, 2023

Last week, stocks including $TSLA, $HMC, $TM, $NIO, $F, and $XPEV declined by 5-15%.

Last week was challenging for the entire market, with indices experiencing a decline of around 3%. The Motor Vehicles industry saw the most significant downturn. For instance, the giant TSLA dropped by 11%, while NIO's shares plummeted by 17%. We actively trade stocks of this type in almost all of our robots due to their high volatility, and we had a good week profiting from short positions.

You can receive signals, for example, in this robot: Swing Trader - Medium Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA/FA).

Notable Companies: Some of the most prominent companies in this sector include Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), and NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry Description: The automobile industry remains one of the most popular modes of passenger travel in the United States, with major automakers generating revenues and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has witnessed groundbreaking innovations such as electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While established companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors have a longstanding presence in this field, there are also emerging and rapidly growing players like Tesla, which has played a pivotal role in the surging popularity of the electric vehicle market. With significant technological advancements driving change in the automotive sector, we've also seen collaborations, or discussions of potential partnerships, between car manufacturers and tech giants like Google's subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap: The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry stands at $31.4 billion. Market capitalizations for companies in this group vary widely, ranging from $2.5 million to $684 billion. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this category at $684 billion, while EVTGF is the lowest valued company with a market capitalization of $2.5 million.

High and Low Price Notable News: The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -5.08%. Over the same period, the average monthly price growth was 64.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was 69.49%. RIDEQ experienced the highest price growth at 21.34%, while SEVCQ saw the most significant decline at -85%.

8/19/23 6:54 AM: XPeng (XPEV, $14.98) was a top loser this week, declining -7.99%. Expect a continuation of the downtrend. 8/17/23 2:18 PM: NIO (NIO, $11.4) was a top loser this week, declining -15.3%. 8/12/23 7:31 AM: XPeng (XPEV, $16.28) was a top loser this week, declining -11.14%. Expect a continuation of the downtrend.

Volume Trends: The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 9.18%. Conversely, the average monthly volume growth for these stocks was -31.17%, and the average quarterly volume growth was 8.31%.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings: The average fundamental analysis ratings, on a scale where 1 is the best and 100 is the worst, are as follows:

  • Valuation Rating: 48
  • P/E Growth Rating: 67
  • Price Growth Rating: 61
  • SMR Rating (Stock Market Rating): 67
  • Profit Risk Rating: 87
  • Seasonality Score: 1 (Scale: -100 to +100)

These ratings provide insights into various aspects of the companies' financial performance, market perception, and risk assessment.

TSLA's Aroon Indicator Signals Downward Trend: On August 18, 2023, the Aroon Indicator for TSLA entered a downward trend. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three consecutive days. This pattern suggests a strong downward move could be imminent for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Analyzing 170 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern, it was found that in 137 of these cases, the stock moved lower, indicating an 81% likelihood of a downward move.

TSLA Stock Forecast and Price Analysis: The current price of TSLA is $215.49, having crossed the resistance line at $270.17. The stock is trading between the resistance line at $270.17 and the support line at $83.34. Over the month from 07/19/23 to 08/18/23, the stock experienced a significant downtrend of -26%. In the week of 08/11/23 to 08/18/23, the stock fell by -11%.

HMC in a -2.20% Downward Trend: HMC is currently in a -2.20% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on August 16, 2023. A three-day decline is considered a bearish sign, and investors should monitor this stock for potential further declines. Historical data from situations where HMC declined for three days shows that in 159 of 275 cases, the price declined further within the following month, suggesting a 58% chance of a continued downward trend.

TM in an Upward Trend with Bollinger Bands Signal: TM (Toyota Motor Corporation) is in an upward trend, with its price breaking above the lower Bollinger Band on August 16, 2023. This suggests that TM may rebound above the lower band and move towards the middle band. Traders might consider buying the stock or exploring call options. Looking at 35 past instances where TM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, it was observed that in 24 of these cases, the price rose further in the following month, indicating a 69% probability of a continued upward trend.

NIO in a Downward Trend with 50-Day Moving Average Crossing: NIO moved below its 50-day Moving Average on August 18, 2023, signaling a shift from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 30 out of 31 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month, indicating a high likelihood of a continued downward trend at 90%.

F in a -3.20% Downward Trend: Ford (F) is currently in a -3.20% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on August 16, 2023. A three-day decline is generally considered bearish. Monitoring this stock for potential further declines is advisable. Based on historical data from situations where F declined for three days, it was found that in 206 of 301 cases, the price declined further within the following month, suggesting a 68% chance of a continued downward trend.

XPEV's RSI Indicator Signals Overbought Zone Exit: The 10-day RSI Indicator for XPEV moved out of the overbought territory on August 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is transitioning from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Analyzing 13 instances where the RSI Indicator moved out of the overbought zone, it was observed that in all 13 cases, the stock moved lower in the days that followed, indicating a 90% probability of a downward move.

 

Related Ticker: TSLA, HMC, TM, NIO, F, XPEV

Aroon Indicator for TSLA shows an upward move is likely

TSLA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 12, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 327 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 327 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

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Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 33.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.49M to 559.85B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 559.85B. The lowest valued company is EVTGF at 2.49M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12%. PSNYW experienced the highest price growth at 51%, while ELEK experienced the biggest fall at -32%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -38% and the average quarterly volume growth was -16%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 78
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of electric sports cars

Industry MotorVehicles

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