Lululemon Athletica (LULU, $303.64) stock trades lower, on expected profit margin contraction
Lululemon Athletica shares plunged on Monday, after the activewear retailer revealed that profit margins were likely to have contracted substantially over the final quarter of the year.
Lululemon is expecting fourth quarter revenues growth between 25% and 27% year-over-year for the sales figure to be as high as $2.7 billion, slightly higher than its December projection. However, the company is anticipating gross margins to decrease between -0.9% and -1.1% , compared to its prior forecast of positive growth between +0.1% and +0.2%.
According to Lululemon, it would offset the fourth quarter margin narrowing with accelerated cost cuts. The company further said that it expects earnings to come in between $4.22 and $4.27 per share, compared to its December guidance of between $4.20 and $4.30 per share.
LULU in -1.25% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on May 26, 2023
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where LULU declined for three days, in of 275 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 11, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LULU as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LULU turned negative on April 25, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
LULU moved below its 50-day moving average on May 23, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LULU advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
LULU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 311 cases where LULU Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. LULU’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LULU's P/B Ratio (13.755) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.458). P/E Ratio (51.020) is within average values for comparable stocks, (121.055). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.595) is also within normal values, averaging (4.378). LULU has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (5.371) is also within normal values, averaging (1.686).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
