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Nov 27, 2018
Lululemon (LULU) Looking to Bounce as Earnings Loom

Lululemon (LULU) Looking to Bounce as Earnings Loom

Casual clothing manufacturer, Lululemon Athletica (Nasdaq: LULU), has dropped sharply in the last few months. The stock has fallen over 28% from its high to the recent low. The good news is that the stock may have found support earlier this week in the $118 area.

Looking at the weekly chart we see that the stock shot up back on June 1, moving from $105 to over $122. After that jump, the stock consolidated for almost two months before dipping down to the $118 area at the end of July. Earlier this week the stock dropped down to $118.52 before bouncing back and that could mean the $118 area is now acting as support.

You can also see that the weekly stochastic readings are the lowest they have been in the last 18 months and so is the 10-week RSI.

Lulu is scheduled to release earnings again on December 5, with analysts expecting the company to report earnings of $0.69 per share on revenue of $735.9 million. The company reported EPS of $0.56 in the same quarter last year, meaning expectations are for earnings growth of 23.2%. In the last earnings report, earnings grew by 82%. Earnings have averaged annual earnings growth of 18% over the last three years.

It is worth noting that the stock has gapped higher after each of the last four earnings reports. Will it do so again in December?

 

Related Ticker: LULU

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


LULU in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 04, 2026

LULU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 29 of 44 cases where LULU's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for LULU's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +5.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LULU advanced for three days, in 210 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LULU as a result. In 62 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LULU turned negative on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.

LULU moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for LULU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LULU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator for LULU entered a downward trend on September 17, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LULU’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.324) is normal, around the industry mean (3.366). P/E Ratio (8.278) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.096) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.004) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LULU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 8.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 131.6K to 189.04B. IDEXF holds the highest valuation in this group at 189.04B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 131.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7%. SFIX experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while DXLG experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -34% and the average quarterly volume growth was -4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 43 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a retailer of athletic apparels

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1818 Cornwall Avenue
Phone
+1 604 732-6124
Employees
39000
Web
https://www.lululemon.com
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