Shares of Lululemon soared more than 10% after the company disclosed its estimate beating fiscal fourth quarter earnings on Wednesday. Earnings per share came at $1.85 per share versus estimated $1.74 per share; revenue came at $1.17 billion versus and estimated $1.15 billion; and same store sales rose 16% in line with estimates. The quarter ending in February, net income rose to $218.5 million, or $1.65 per share, from $119.8 million, or 88 cents per share. Strong sales during the holiday quarter helped in a revenue rise of $1.17 billion from $928 million in the year-ago quarter. Achieved a operating margin of 21.5% during the quarter, two years ahead of schedule.
But the most exciting news for the quarter was its foray into the men’s wear segment proved to be highly successful.
The company, which so far specialised in women wear, disclosed that its recent foray into men’s apparel has been the most exciting segment for the year. And with just 20% market penetration, it is expected to be one of major growth driver for the company in years to come. Specifically, the men’s “bottoms” segment has been extremely profitable. To further enhance its brand presence, the company also recently announced former Philadelphia Eagles Superbowl quarterback Nick Foles as the brand’s first men’s ambassador.
Keeping women’s business at the core, the company also plans to widen its offering by focusing on some of the other segments within the apparel industry like office, travel, commute, outerwear and bras along with developing gear for the warm weather runs.
The 50-day moving average for LULU moved below the 200-day moving average on April 22, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LULU declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for LULU entered a downward trend on April 25, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LULU's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 22, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LULU as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LULU just turned positive on April 18, 2024. Looking at past instances where LULU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LULU advanced for three days, in of 351 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LULU’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LULU's P/B Ratio (11.468) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.930). P/E Ratio (31.575) is within average values for comparable stocks, (102.859). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.450) is also within normal values, averaging (1.444). LULU has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.027). P/S Ratio (5.089) is also within normal values, averaging (2.038).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a retailer of athletic apparels
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail