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Indra Bhattacharjee's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 28, 2019

Lululemon’s (LULU, $168.30) ventures into menswear segment to drive growth

Shares of Lululemon soared more than 10% after the company disclosed its estimate beating fiscal fourth quarter earnings on Wednesday. Earnings per share came at $1.85 per share versus estimated $1.74 per share; revenue came at $1.17 billion versus and estimated $1.15 billion; and same store sales rose 16% in line with estimates. The quarter ending in February, net income rose to $218.5 million, or $1.65 per share, from $119.8 million, or 88 cents per share. Strong sales during the holiday quarter helped in a revenue rise of $1.17 billion from $928 million in the year-ago quarter. Achieved a operating margin of 21.5% during the quarter, two years ahead of schedule.

But the most exciting news for the quarter was its foray into the men’s wear segment proved to be highly successful.

The company, which so far specialised in women wear, disclosed that its recent foray into men’s apparel has been the most exciting segment for the year. And with just 20% market penetration, it is expected to be one of major growth driver for the company in years to come. Specifically, the men’s “bottoms” segment has been extremely profitable. To further enhance its brand presence, the company also recently announced former Philadelphia Eagles Superbowl quarterback Nick Foles as the brand’s first men’s ambassador.

Keeping women’s business at the core, the company also plans to widen its offering by focusing on some of the other segments within the apparel industry like office, travel, commute, outerwear and bras along with developing gear for the warm weather runs.

Related Ticker: LULU

LULU's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for LULU entered a downward trend on March 01, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 109 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 109 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 22, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LULU as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LULU turned negative on March 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

LULU moved below its 50-day moving average on March 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for LULU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LULU declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LULU advanced for three days, in of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

LULU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LULU’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LULU's P/B Ratio (11.468) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.890). P/E Ratio (31.575) is within average values for comparable stocks, (101.361). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.450) is also within normal values, averaging (1.444). LULU has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (5.089) is also within normal values, averaging (2.069).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 12.38B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 119.4B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 119.4B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. JDSPY experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while ESHDF experienced the biggest fall at -72%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 12% and the average quarterly volume growth was 9%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 45
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a retailer of athletic apparels

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1818 Cornwall Avenue
Phone
+1 604 732-6124
Employees
38000
Web
https://www.lululemon.com
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