Lyft (LYFT, $55.65) unable to meet hype, reports huge loss in Q1
Ride-hailing platform Lyft published its first quarterly report on Tuesday after going public earlier this year, showing a huge loss for the quarter but with rising revenues. Notwithstanding the lack of reliable data typical of a company fresh on the public market, Lyft’s adjusted loss per share came at $9.02, and revenue at $776 million versus an expected $739.4 million.
However, the steep loss was comparably lower than last year’s non-GAAP loss of $11.40 per share and analysts have reasons to believe that this trend will continue for the rest of 2019. For its second quarter, Lyft expects to report revenue between $800 million and $810 million with guided total revenue between $3.275 billion and $3.3 billion for the full fiscal year.
Despite these results, Lyft’s user base has continued to grow over the first quarter of its fiscal year. The company said it had 20.5 million active riders in the quarter compared to 14 million in the first quarter of 2018. It also saw increased revenue per active rider at $37.86 compared to $28.27 for during the same quarter last year.
On positive news, Alphabet’s self-driving car company Waymo confirmed its partnership with Lyft and soon it would deploy 10 of its vehicles on Lyft. This step could be crucial for Lyft as automakers are increasingly shifting towards self-driving vehicles.
Lyft’s trading has been down more than 20% over the last month and nearly $13 off its IPO price of $72 per share, and its market cap has sunk to $17 billion. Lyft’s performance is being closely watched as it rival Uber is soon to go public later this week.
LYFT's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 12 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LYFT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for LYFT moved above the 200-day moving average on December 04, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LYFT advanced for three days, in of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
LYFT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 05, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LYFT as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LYFT turned negative on November 21, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
LYFT moved below its 50-day moving average on December 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for LYFT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LYFT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for LYFT entered a downward trend on December 24, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.205) is normal, around the industry mean (31.078). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.694). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.755). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.084) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.684) is also within normal values, averaging (58.228).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LYFT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LYFT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of online social rideshare community platform
Industry PackagedSoftware