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Nov 30, 2020
M&A Activity Puts Market Information Services Industry in the Spotlight

M&A Activity Puts Market Information Services Industry in the Spotlight

S&P Global (SPGI) announced on November 30 that it would be acquiring IHS Markit (INFO) for $44 billion. The deal is one of the two largest mergers of 2020 and it has put the market data services industry in the spotlight.

This particular merger was of major interest to me as I have S&P Global, MSCI (MSCI) and Factset Research (FDS) in my 20/2o Model Portfolio. The reason those three stocks got my attention in the first place was due to their earnings and revenue growth. If we look at the Tickeron Screener for these three stocks, all three have really good SMR Ratings. The SMR rating includes sales growth, profit margin, and return on equity—three important fundamental indicators.

The SMR rating is the only fundamental category where all three rank above average, but both MSCI and Factset Research score very well in the Valuation Rating and the Profit vs. Risk rating.

S&P Global scores poorly in its Valuation Rating and the Profit vs. Risk Rating. Those are the only two areas that are a concern for the stock though. MSCI scores poorly in the Outlook Rating while Factset Research scores poorly in its seasonality score. Between the three stocks, those are the only four areas where there is any hint of negativity.

On the technical side, there isn’t a single bearish signal among the three stocks and the seven different indicators. All 21 readings are either neutral or bullish. S&P Global and Factset Research both received bullish signals from their stochastic indicators on November 30 which I thought was interesting. Those two stocks also received bullish signals from the MACD indicators on the same date.

Another area of analysis that got my attention for the three stocks was the sentiment. None of three stocks have extremely high levels of optimism being displayed toward them and Factset Research has quite a bit of pessimism being directed toward it. Looking at the analysts’ ratings for Factset, there are 16 analysts covering the stock with nine “hold” ratings and seven “sell” ratings. Not a single analysts ranks the stock as a buy and that is hard to believe given the company’s strong fundamentals.

S&P Global has seven “buy” ratings and four “hold” ratings while MSCI has six “buy” ratings, five “hold” ratings, and one “sell” rating. Both of those buy percentages are below average.

Turning our attention to the short interest ratios, Factset Research’s ratio is above average at 4.7, while S&P Global and MSCI have short interest ratios that are slightly below the average reading.

When you compare the three companies in all categories, you can see how well they stack up against one another and how they compare to other stocks based on the fundamental and technical analysis.

Related Ticker: SPGI

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


SPGI in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026

The 10-day moving average for SPGI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPGI as a result. In 37 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 45%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPGI turned negative on September 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 17 of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 44%.

SPGI moved below its 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for SPGI moved below the 200-day moving average on September 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPGI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

The Aroon Indicator for SPGI entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SPGI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 18 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPGI advanced for three days, in 194 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

SPGI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SPGI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.705) is normal, around the industry mean (-5.093). P/E Ratio (24.097) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.252). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.893) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.570) is also within normal values, averaging (7.166).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPGI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are CME Group (NASDAQ:CME).

Industry description

The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Financial Publishing/Services Industry is 41.08B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.27M to 116.72B. SPGI holds the highest valuation in this group at 116.72B. The lowest valued company is BTOG at 1.27M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Financial Publishing/Services Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. CBOE experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while TRU experienced the biggest fall at -4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Financial Publishing/Services Industry was 7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 1% and the average quarterly volume growth was -35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 75
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 52
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: 61 (-100 ... +100)
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