MACD Turns Positive: Market Neutral Strategy Yields 13.09% for CCL
Assessing the Upward Trend in CCL's Market Neutral Strategy: A Look at the MACD Indicator
Choppy Market Trader, a platform renowned for its rich data and insightful analysis, has recently presented some fascinating findings. It focuses on Carnival Corporation & Plc (CCL), one of the most frequently traded stocks. The platform's Market Neutral Strategy, which combines both technical and fundamental analysis (TA&FA), boasts an impressive return of 13.09% for CCL, suggesting a positive investment performance.
The key piece of information underpinning this trend lies in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CCL. On June 28, 2023, the MACD for CCL turned positive, indicating a potential shift in the stock's momentum towards a more bullish stance.
For those unfamiliar, MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that demonstrates the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. In basic terms, a positive MACD suggests that it may be a good time to buy as it indicates upward price momentum.
The historical performance further illuminates the significance of this trend. When analyzing past instances where CCL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 out of 39 cases over the subsequent month. These historical odds equate to a 72% chance of an ongoing upward trend for CCL.
However, it's essential to understand that while these historical trends do suggest a high probability of continued success, they are not a guarantee of future performance. Thus, a comprehensive, multi-faceted investment strategy is necessary to navigate the ever-changing market landscape.
CCL sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
CCL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on December 09, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 36 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CCL moved out of overbought territory on December 09, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CCL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 58 cases where CCL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 20, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CCL as a result. In of 69 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CCL advanced for three days, in of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CCL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 256 cases where CCL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.188) is normal, around the industry mean (13.148). P/E Ratio (50.812) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.221). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.802). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.910) is also within normal values, averaging (22.805).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
an operator of luxury cruises ships
Industry OtherConsumerServices