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published in Blogs
Sep 25, 2019
Marathon Petroleum (MPC, $60.07) should be split into 3, says Elliot Management

Marathon Petroleum (MPC, $60.07) should be split into 3, says Elliot Management

Marathon Petroleum shares surged Wednesday, following comments from activist investors at Elliott Management that the group should be split into three separate companies. 

The independent oil refining company’s 2.5% stake is held by Elliott. Elliot has suggested that Marathon should initiate a separation into three independent entities,  in order to unlock more than $22 billion in value for shareholders. Elliot also believes that the separation would  boost the company's stock price by more than 60%.

Elliott’s letter asked Marathon to separate its Speedway gas-station chain and its pipeline business into their own companies, while making Marathon’s refining business as the new Marathon.

Marathon agreed to a $23 billion deal last year to acquire rival Andeavor. But Elliot does not approve of the purchase since it believes that Marathon sought another integrated oil refining company at a time when it promised to consider simplifying its business structure.

Back in 2016, when Elliott had first targeted Marathon, the former had insisted on a similar breakup of the company. Eventually it settled on a promise from Marathon to simplify its midstream business and review its Speedway chain of company-owned retail gasoline stores.

 

 

Related Ticker: MPC

MPC in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on February 05, 2026

The 10-day moving average for MPC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MPC as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MPC just turned positive on March 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where MPC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MPC moved above its 50-day moving average on February 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPC advanced for three days, in of 362 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 345 cases where MPC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MPC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MPC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.860) is normal, around the industry mean (18.039). P/E Ratio (17.151) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.345). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.268) is also within normal values, averaging (2.780). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.523) is also within normal values, averaging (0.567).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX), MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC).

Industry description

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry is 9.09B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107.69K to 65.55B. VLO holds the highest valuation in this group at 65.55B. The lowest valued company is AMCF at 107.69K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 27%. FGPRB experienced the highest price growth at 75%, while DLXY experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 17% and the average quarterly volume growth was 11%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 39
Price Growth Rating: 46
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 61
Seasonality Score: -13 (-100 ... +100)
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. MPC showed earnings on February 03, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters

Industry OilRefiningMarketing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil Refining Or Marketing
Address
539 South Main Street
Phone
+1 419 422-2121
Employees
18200
Web
https://www.marathonpetroleum.com
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