Marathon Petroleum (MPC, $60.07) should be split into 3, says Elliot Management
Marathon Petroleum shares surged Wednesday, following comments from activist investors at Elliott Management that the group should be split into three separate companies.
The independent oil refining company’s 2.5% stake is held by Elliott. Elliot has suggested that Marathon should initiate a separation into three independent entities, in order to unlock more than $22 billion in value for shareholders. Elliot also believes that the separation would boost the company's stock price by more than 60%.
Elliott’s letter asked Marathon to separate its Speedway gas-station chain and its pipeline business into their own companies, while making Marathon’s refining business as the new Marathon.
Marathon agreed to a $23 billion deal last year to acquire rival Andeavor. But Elliot does not approve of the purchase since it believes that Marathon sought another integrated oil refining company at a time when it promised to consider simplifying its business structure.
Back in 2016, when Elliott had first targeted Marathon, the former had insisted on a similar breakup of the company. Eventually it settled on a promise from Marathon to simplify its midstream business and review its Speedway chain of company-owned retail gasoline stores.
MPC sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for MPC moved above the 200-day moving average on June 20, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 01, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MPC as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MPC just turned positive on July 03, 2025. Looking at past instances where MPC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPC advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 362 cases where MPC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MPC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 02, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MPC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.018) is normal, around the industry mean (9.584). P/E Ratio (8.650) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.092). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.185) is also within normal values, averaging (0.907). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.062) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.563) is also within normal values, averaging (0.483).
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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General Information
an operator of petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters
Industry OilRefiningMarketing
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