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published in Blogs
Jun 28, 2023

Maximize Returns with Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy for MRO +23.01%

Triumph of the Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 23.01% for MRO

In the dynamic realm of financial markets, the power of strategy is often the distinguishing factor between success and mediocrity. One such approach that has been making significant strides recently is the swing trading method known as the Sector Rotation Strategy. Harnessing the combined strengths of Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA), this strategy has catalyzed a remarkable 23.01% growth for Marathon Oil Corporation (MRO).

Marathon Oil's recent performance serves as a stellar testament to the efficacy of the sector rotation strategy. As the company strategically navigates through the ebbs and flows of the sectoral market trends, it continues to demonstrate its resilience and potential for growth, transcending the common market predictions.

Key to the success of this approach is the swing trader's ability to balance technical and fundamental analyses. The robustness of MRO's financial health and its solid fundamental groundwork is weighed against a detailed inspection of price patterns and trading signals. This dual assessment empowers the swing trader to make informed decisions, capitalizing on short-term price fluctuations, while taking into account the long-term health and performance of the company.

In the case of MRO, a closer look at its trading chart reveals a likely bounce back above the lower band, indicating a potential rally toward the middle band. Such an upswing is interpreted by swing traders as a potential entry point into the market. They might consider buying the stock or exploring call options, strategies that may yield significant returns if the predicted upward momentum comes to fruition.

This intuitive approach of swing traders, utilizing the sector rotation strategy, shows how they skillfully leverage sector-specific data and broad market indicators. This particular strategy takes advantage of the cyclical nature of the economy, shifting investments from one sector to another based on stages of the economic cycle. By doing so, they maximize returns, as demonstrated by MRO’s substantial growth.

In the ever-evolving landscape of stock trading, a tactful blend of strategy and timing is vital. As showcased by the success story of MRO, the swing trading sector rotation strategy indeed holds immense potential. As traders increasingly recognize its value, we can expect this approach to gain further traction in the trading community, paving the way for more success stories like Marathon Oil.

Related Ticker: MRO

MRO in -2.79% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on September 20, 2023

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where MRO declined for three days, in of 281 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 68 cases where MRO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MRO as a result. In of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MRO turned negative on September 15, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

MRO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for MRO moved above the 200-day moving average on September 06, 2023. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MRO advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 242 cases where MRO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MRO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.441) is normal, around the industry mean (6.231). P/E Ratio (8.285) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.603). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.729) is also within normal values, averaging (2.541). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.124) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.566) is also within normal values, averaging (120.481).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Pioneer Natural Resource Co (NYSE:PXD), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Marathon Oil Corp (NYSE:MRO).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 3.81B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 145.1B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 145.1B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. TRLED experienced the highest price growth at 377%, while TRLM experienced the biggest fall at -70%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -0% and the average quarterly volume growth was -11%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which explores, produces, transports and markets crude oil and natural gas

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
990 Town and Country Boulevard
Phone
+1 713 629-6600
Employees
1570
Web
https://www.marathonoil.com
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MRO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRO has been closely correlated with FANG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MRO jumps, then FANG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MRO
1D Price
Change %
MRO100%
-2.28%
FANG - MRO
90%
Closely correlated
-1.61%
APA - MRO
89%
Closely correlated
-2.11%
MUR - MRO
88%
Closely correlated
-2.01%
COP - MRO
88%
Closely correlated
-1.61%
HES - MRO
88%
Closely correlated
-1.75%
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