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Jan 24, 2019

McCormick (MKC, $139.00) Down -13% On Lower-than-Expected Earnings. But Reported Strong Year-Over-Year Growth

McCormick & Co. may not have been able to spice things up yet with its recent quarterly report. The producer of condiments and seasonal mixes saw its shares decline nearly -13% on Thursday, after it reported earnings that fell short of analysts’ estimates.

The company posted adjusted earnings of $1.67 per share for the fourth quarter, which was lower than Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.70 per share. However, the earnings-per-share was still +8% higher compared to the same quarter a year ago.

Net sales of $1.5 billion also could not match up to analysts’ expectations, but experienced a +12% increase from the year-ago period.

For the full-year 2018, adjusted earnings per share rose to $4.97, from $4.26 of the previous year.

For 2019, McCormick expects its adjusted earnings per share to increase in the range of  4%-6% from the preceding year. It projects sales growth of 1%-3% for the year.

 

Related Ticker: MKC

MKC sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

MKC saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on April 11, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MKC moved out of overbought territory on April 03, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 10, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MKC as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MKC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MKC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MKC advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 262 cases where MKC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.931) is normal, around the industry mean (8.292). P/E Ratio (29.244) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.814). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.651) is also within normal values, averaging (2.471). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.085) is also within normal values, averaging (62.729).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MKC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MKC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ), Kraft Heinz Company (The) (NASDAQ:KHC), General Mills (NYSE:GIS), Campbell Soup Company (NYSE:CPB), Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND).

Industry description

A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry is 8.47B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.25K to 327.81B. NSRGY holds the highest valuation in this group at 327.81B. The lowest valued company is OGGFF at 6.25K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 17%. CULTF experienced the highest price growth at 39%, while VTSYF experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 66
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of spices, seasoning mixes, condiments and flavorful products

Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Specialty Or Candy
Address
24 Schilling Road
Phone
+1 410 771-7301
Employees
13800
Web
https://www.mccormickcorporation.com
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