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Oct 20, 2020

Microsoft (MSFT, $215.57) gets price target hike at Stifel, ahead of earnings release

Microsoft  got a price target hike from Stifel analysts.

The analysts raised their price target on the technology behemoth’s shares  to $245 from $220. They also affirmed a buy rating.

 

The analysts cited their expectations that Microsoft should benefit from faster digital transformation due to the coronavirus pandemic as well as a recuperating world economy. They expect the company to beat  fiscal-first-quarter earnings next week. 

Stifel is expecting  a "solid December guide" from Microsoft due to Office365 gains, market-share expansion for its cloud-computing business Azure, as well as the upcoming Xbox videogame console. 

According to Tickeron, 

MSFT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 09, 2020

MSFT moved above its 50-day Moving Average on October 09, 2020 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 32 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Current price $215.66 is above $211.97 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 09/17/20 - 10/19/20, the price experienced a +6% Uptrend, while the week of 10/12/20 - 10/19/20 shows a -3% Downtrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2020. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MSFT as a result. In 60 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MSFT just turned positive on September 29, 2020. Looking at past instances where MSFT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

The 10-day Moving Average for MSFT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2020. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

Following a +3.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSFT advanced for three days, in 216 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 241 of 414 cases where MSFT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 58%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MSFT moved out of overbought territory on September 03, 2020. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 53 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 36%.

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 25 of 76 cases where MSFT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 33%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 32%.

MSFT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 87%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.23 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.71) is normal, around the industry mean (8.58). P/E Ratio (37.19) is within average values for comparable stocks, (342.46). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.54) is also within normal values, averaging (7.05). Dividend Yield (1.00) settles around the average of (0.31) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.89) is also within normal values, averaging (16.25).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MSFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Related Ticker: MSFT

Momentum Indicator for MSFT turns positive, indicating new upward trend

MSFT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on March 12, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MSFT just turned positive on March 14, 2024. Looking at past instances where MSFT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSFT advanced for three days, in of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 382 cases where MSFT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MSFT moved out of overbought territory on February 12, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 58 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 58 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSFT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MSFT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 14, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MSFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.021) is normal, around the industry mean (28.709). P/E Ratio (37.739) is within average values for comparable stocks, (148.463). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.117) is also within normal values, averaging (2.760). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.087) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.699) is also within normal values, averaging (77.152).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.26B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.1T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.1T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. VERB experienced the highest price growth at 134%, while INPX experienced the biggest fall at -99%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 50%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 11% and the average quarterly volume growth was 109%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 3 (-100 ... +100)
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MSFTDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
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General Information

a developer of software and harware products

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
One Microsoft Way
Phone
+1 425 882-8080
Employees
221000
Web
https://www.microsoft.com
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MSFT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSFT has been loosely correlated with NOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MSFT jumps, then NOW could also see price increases.

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