Chinese internet company Momo Inc. (Nasdaq: MOMO) has been rallying sharply since the beginning of 2019, but it saw a little pullback in the last few weeks. The pullback could be a buying opportunity as it brought the stock down to its 50-day moving average and the lower rail of an upward sloped trend channel.
The lower rail connects the lows from December and March and the stock just hit it last week. The upper rail is parallel and connects the highs from March and early April.
The daily stochastic readings reached oversold levels last week and that was the first time they had been there since December. The indicators made a bullish crossover on April 22 and that could be another good sign for the stock.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal for Momo on April 18 and that signal calls for a gain of at least 4% in the next month. The signal showed a confidence level of 59% and previous predictions on Momo have been successful 81% of the time.
Momo’s fundamentals are well above average with strong earnings growth, sales growth, and management efficiency measurements. Over the last three years the company has seen an average EPS growth of 165% per year for the last three years. Sales have grown by an average annualized rate of 158% over that same time period.
The company boasts a return on equity of 39.8% and a profit margin of 21%. The company is expected to announce earnings again on May 21, so you will want to be aware of that date.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MOMO turned positive on April 02, 2024. Looking at past instances where MOMO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 18, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MOMO as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOMO advanced for three days, in of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for MOMO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 19, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.726) is normal, around the industry mean (19.638). P/E Ratio (4.702) is within average values for comparable stocks, (49.308). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.920) is also within normal values, averaging (3.441). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.743) is also within normal values, averaging (110.312).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MOMO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MOMO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a holding company, which through its subsidiaries operates a mobile-based social networking platform
Industry InternetSoftwareServices