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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
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Sep 07, 2021

MongoDB (MDB, $496.36) gets price target hikes

MongoDB  shares received price-target hikes from several analysts, on   the database platform's fiscal-second-quarter results that surpassed expectations.

For the quarter ended July 31, MongoDB incurred a loss of -24 cents a share, compared with -39 cents a share loss expected by analysts polled  by FactSet.

Revenue rose +44% from the year-ago quarter to $198.7 million, beating analysts' expectations of $182.4 million.

Oppenheimer analyst Ittai Kidron boosted the price target to $470 from $400. Kidron affirmed his outperform rating on the company’s shares. According to Kidron, MongoDB had  a "strong" July quarter, with revenue and loss per share beating estimates on the back of robust subscription revenue growth and an "impressive" performance from Atlas. He noted that Atlas is increasingly becoming MongoDB's primary growth engine. Looking forward, the analyst expects continued investment in C-level engagement to bolster long-term expansion.

Barclays analyst Raimo Lenschow hiked his price target on MongoDB shares to $505 from $420, while maintaining his overweight rating on the shares. Lenschow said that investor focus for the second quarter was on the performance of Atlas, and the results "did not disappoint." Atlas has a run rate above $400 million. He said the performance would lead to  analysts revising their estimates upward. Lenschow indicated that based on MongoDB's continued product enhancements and sales motion evolution, he is sanguine that the company "has a long growth runway ahead."

Canaccord analyst David Hynes raised his price target on MongoDB shares to $290 from $245, while keeping a buy rating on the shares. According to Hynes, the stock is expensive but the company has one of the largest still growing total addressable markets. The analyst said that favorable secular trends will boost both new and expansion opportunities.

 

Related Ticker: MDB

Momentum Indicator for MDB turns positive, indicating new upward trend

MDB saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 15, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 76 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 76 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MDB's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MDB just turned positive on May 14, 2024. Looking at past instances where MDB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MDB moved above its 50-day moving average on May 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MDB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 16, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MDB advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for MDB moved below the 200-day moving average on April 25, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MDB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MDB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for MDB entered a downward trend on April 25, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MDB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (24.272) is normal, around the industry mean (29.834). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (156.133). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.654) is also within normal values, averaging (2.723). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (15.083) is also within normal values, averaging (55.842).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. ENETF experienced the highest price growth at 334%, while EVAHF experienced the biggest fall at -46%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 73% and the average quarterly volume growth was 46%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 84
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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a developer of MongoDB database

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Packaged Software
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