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published in Blogs
Oct 02, 2019

Monster Beverage (MNST, $55.05) get rating downgrade and price target cut from Guggenheim Securities

Monster Beverage shares were declining Wednesday, following a rating downgrade from Guggenheim Securities.

 Analysts at Guggenheim Securities downgraded the beverage company’s stock to neutral from buy, citing competition from the upcoming Coca-Cola Energy.  

Guggenheim also cut on price target on Monster shares to $60 a share from $74. The new target indicates a potential 6.3% upside from the stock's Tuesday closing price. 

The analysts indicated that their concerns included Monster’s in-store execution, especially in convenience, where shelf space is more constrained.

 

Related Ticker: MNST

MNST in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on February 29, 2024

MNST moved above its 50-day moving average on February 29, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 29, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MNST as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MNST just turned positive on February 27, 2024. Looking at past instances where MNST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MNST advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for MNST crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 30, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MNST declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MNST broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 29, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for MNST entered a downward trend on February 14, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MNST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.485) is normal, around the industry mean (71.947). P/E Ratio (38.175) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.816). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.700) is also within normal values, averaging (5.041). MNST has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.029). MNST's P/S Ratio (8.711) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.167).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP).

Industry description

Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry is 20.47B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.77K to 256.72B. KO holds the highest valuation in this group at 256.72B. The lowest valued company is BVNNF at 1.77K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 17%, and the average quarterly price growth was 285,714%. BVNND experienced the highest price growth at 140%, while JSDA experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was 57%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 73% and the average quarterly volume growth was 161%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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MNSTDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company with interests in markets and distributes energy drinks

Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Beverages Non Alcoholic
Address
1 Monster Way
Phone
+1 951 739-6200
Employees
5296
Web
https://www.monsterbevcorp.com
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MNST and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MNST has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MNST jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MNST
1D Price
Change %
MNST100%
-0.52%
PEP - MNST
61%
Loosely correlated
-0.47%
KO - MNST
55%
Loosely correlated
-0.82%
CCEP - MNST
45%
Loosely correlated
+1.12%
PRMW - MNST
45%
Loosely correlated
-0.37%
COKE - MNST
42%
Loosely correlated
-1.32%
More
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