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Oct 02, 2019
Monster Beverage (MNST, $55.05) get rating downgrade and price target cut from Guggenheim Securities

Monster Beverage (MNST, $55.05) get rating downgrade and price target cut from Guggenheim Securities

Monster Beverage shares were declining Wednesday, following a rating downgrade from Guggenheim Securities.

 Analysts at Guggenheim Securities downgraded the beverage company’s stock to neutral from buy, citing competition from the upcoming Coca-Cola Energy.  

Guggenheim also cut on price target on Monster shares to $60 a share from $74. The new target indicates a potential 6.3% upside from the stock's Tuesday closing price. 

The analysts indicated that their concerns included Monster’s in-store execution, especially in convenience, where shelf space is more constrained.

 

Related Ticker: MNST

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


MNST in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026

The 10-day moving average for MNST crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 27 of 49 cases where MNST's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

MNST moved above its 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MNST advanced for three days, in 211 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

MNST may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 24, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MNST as a result. In 52 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MNST turned negative on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 55%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MNST declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.

The Aroon Indicator for MNST entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MNST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.757) is normal, around the industry mean (6.793). P/E Ratio (38.759) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.051). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.153) is also within normal values, averaging (3.732). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. MNST's P/S Ratio (9.542) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.785).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP).

Industry description

Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry is 45.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.51K to 375.1B. KO holds the highest valuation in this group at 375.1B. The lowest valued company is NTEI at 1.51K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14%. REED experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while BNKK experienced the biggest fall at -22%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Non-Alcoholic Industry was -0%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -1% and the average quarterly volume growth was -20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a holding company with interests in markets and distributes energy drinks

Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic

Industry
Beverages Non Alcoholic
Address
1 Monster Way
Phone
+1 951 739-6200
Employees
6891
Web
https://www.monsterbevcorp.com
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