Monster Beverage (MNST, $58.08) shares get energized by Credit Suisse's "top pick" rating
Monster Beverage's shares got a boost on Wednesday, after Credit Suisse named the stock one of its top picks based on valuation.
The energy drinks maker ‘s stock is down more than -10% over the past four weeks. Credit Suisse analysts gave Monster shares a $77 price target, representing 36% potential upside from the stock's previous close.
Monster shares have been hurt by its second-quarter sales and earnings figures (reported early August) that fell short of the Street expectations. Also, there have been apparent concerns over sales of its new recent fitness beverage Reign, which haven’t been as strong as expected.
However, at a price multiple of 26 times expected earnings over the next 12 months, Credit Suisse analyst Kaumil Gajrawala views Monster Beverage shares as “cheap, given best-in-class growth prospects, low capital needs, and a clean balance sheet” . That multiple is lower than the stock’s five-year average of nearly 33 times, according to FactSet, and closer to lows of 24 times.
Gajrawala projects Monster’s revenue growth to be +10% this year, while expecting its EPS to increase +14%.
Monster Beverage shares climbed more than +2% on Wednesday.
MNST in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on April 01, 2024
MNST may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 35 cases where MNST's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 17 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 25, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MNST as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MNST turned negative on March 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
MNST moved below its 50-day moving average on April 02, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MNST crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 09, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MNST declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for MNST entered a downward trend on April 18, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MNST’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.348) is normal, around the industry mean (71.812). P/E Ratio (37.494) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.998). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.971) is also within normal values, averaging (5.544). MNST's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.027). MNST's P/S Ratio (8.554) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.113).
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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General Information
a holding company with interests in markets and distributes energy drinks
Industry BeveragesNonAlcoholic