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published in Blogs
Jan 21, 2019
Morgan Stanley’s Earnings Disappoint and That Keeps the Stock Contained in a Trend Channel

Morgan Stanley’s Earnings Disappoint and That Keeps the Stock Contained in a Trend Channel

Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) reported fourth-quarter earnings results yesterday morning and the results disappointed investors. The company was expected to report EPS of $0.90 on revenue of $9.44 billion. The actual results showed EPS of $0.80 on revenue of $8.55 billion.

The revenue streams all fell or came in flat with the exception of investment management which was up 7%. Fixed income trading revenue was down 30% and that has been a theme among the banks that have reported this week—lower fixed income trading revenue. Wealth management revenue fell 6% while equity trading revenue and investment banking revenue came in flat.

Looking at the daily chart of Morgan Stanley we see that the stock has been trending lower within the confines of a downward sloped trend channel. The upper rail connects the highs from March to Wednesday. The stock gapped higher on Wednesday as Goldman Sachs beat investor expectations and investors expected the same from Morgan Stanley.

The stock gapped right back down on Thursday after its own earnings results and that means the stock remains within the channel. We also see that the stock was in overbought territory based on the 10-day RSI and the daily stochastic readings. The RSI moved out of overbought territory after Thursday’s decline and the stochastic readings made a bearish crossover.

The financial sector has lagged the overall market over the past year and banking stocks have lagged the financial sector. Morgan Stanley has lagged the overall market, the financial sector, and the banking industry.

Related Ticker: MS

MS in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on February 12, 2026

MS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 29 cases where MS's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where MS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MS advanced for three days, in of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MS as a result. In of 71 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MS moved below its 50-day moving average on February 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MS entered a downward trend on March 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.587) is normal, around the industry mean (6.371). P/E Ratio (16.254) is within average values for comparable stocks, (66.895). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.893) is also within normal values, averaging (1.651). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.005) is also within normal values, averaging (1503217.375).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Charles Schwab Corp (The) (NYSE:SCHW), Gold.com Inc. (NYSE:GOLD).

Industry description

These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry is 20.52B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13 to 1.5T. PHIG holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.5T. The lowest valued company is BFCH at 13.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. CD experienced the highest price growth at 106%, while GSIW experienced the biggest fall at -48%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was 532%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -1% and the average quarterly volume growth was 4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: -26 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. MS showed earnings on January 15, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of diversified financial services including brokerage, investment management and venture capital services

Industry InvestmentBanksBrokers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Investment Banks Or Brokers
Address
1585 Broadway
Phone
+1 212 761-4000
Employees
80000
Web
https://www.morganstanley.com
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