Mosaic Company (MOS, $49.85) comparisons of last two quarters of earnings
A distributor and producer of fertilizer, Mosaic Company just released its earnings for the previous two quarters. The company published its Q3 earnings on November 2, 2022, and its Q4 profits on February 7, 2023.
In Q3 2022, Mosaic Company reported net sales of $2.4 billion, an increase of 4% compared to the same period in the previous year. Gross margin increased by 2 percentage points to 17%, while adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.43, up from $0.17 in Q3 2021. The company's phosphate segment saw higher sales volumes and prices, which drove the overall sales growth.
Moving on to Q4 2022, Mosaic Company recorded net revenues of $2.6 billion, up 8% from the same quarter the year prior. Adjusted EPS grew from $0.35 in Q4 2021 to $0.58, a 4 percentage point improvement in adjusted gross margin to 20%. While the phosphate portion of the corporation continued to do well, the potash segment witnessed increasing sales volumes and pricing.
While Mosaic Company's earnings have been positive over the last two quarters, the 10-day RSI Oscillator for MOS moved out of overbought territory on February 13, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 31 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 84%.
Both net sales and gross margin increased during the most recent two quarters, according to Mosaic Company's earnings reports. The 10-day RSI Oscillator's recent rise out of overbought area, however, should alert traders that the stock may be transitioning to a bearish trend. Before making any trading decisions, traders may want to take into account this information and the analysis provided by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor.
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MOS in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026
The 10-day moving average for MOS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MOS as a result. In 64 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MOS turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 79%.
MOS moved below its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MOS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +4.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOS advanced for three days, in 225 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
MOS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 156 of 223 cases where MOS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 27 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.617) is normal, around the industry mean (2.504). MOS has a moderately high P/E Ratio (167.214) as compared to the industry average of (42.983). MOS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.020) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.867). Dividend Yield (0.040) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.645) is also within normal values, averaging (1.476).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MOS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MOS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a producer of phosphate and potash
Industry ChemicalsAgricultural
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