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Feb 20, 2023

Mosaic Company (MOS, $49.85) comparisons of last two quarters of earnings

A distributor and producer of fertilizer, Mosaic Company just released its earnings for the previous two quarters. The company published its Q3 earnings on November 2, 2022, and its Q4 profits on February 7, 2023.

In Q3 2022, Mosaic Company reported net sales of $2.4 billion, an increase of 4% compared to the same period in the previous year. Gross margin increased by 2 percentage points to 17%, while adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.43, up from $0.17 in Q3 2021. The company's phosphate segment saw higher sales volumes and prices, which drove the overall sales growth.

Moving on to Q4 2022, Mosaic Company recorded net revenues of $2.6 billion, up 8% from the same quarter the year prior. Adjusted EPS grew from $0.35 in Q4 2021 to $0.58, a 4 percentage point improvement in adjusted gross margin to 20%. While the phosphate portion of the corporation continued to do well, the potash segment witnessed increasing sales volumes and pricing.

While Mosaic Company's earnings have been positive over the last two quarters, the 10-day RSI Oscillator for MOS moved out of overbought territory on February 13, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. 

Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 31 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 84%. 

Both net sales and gross margin increased during the most recent two quarters, according to Mosaic Company's earnings reports. The 10-day RSI Oscillator's recent rise out of overbought area, however, should alert traders that the stock may be transitioning to a bearish trend. Before making any trading decisions, traders may want to take into account this information and the analysis provided by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor.
 

Related Ticker: MOS

Momentum Indicator for MOS turns positive, indicating new upward trend

MOS saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on March 27, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MOS just turned positive on March 28, 2024. Looking at past instances where MOS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MOS moved above its 50-day moving average on March 27, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MOS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on March 15, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MOS advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MOS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 238 cases where MOS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MOS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.849) is normal, around the industry mean (3.255). P/E Ratio (9.266) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.766). MOS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.193) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.460). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.789) is also within normal values, averaging (533.117).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MOS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MOS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are CF Industries Holding (NYSE:CF), Mosaic Company (The) (NYSE:MOS).

Industry description

The agricultural chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemical products for the agricultural industry applications like crop protection, animal health, biotechnology and pharmaceutical-related products. Some of the largest agricultural chemicals producers include Nutrien Ltd., Corteva Inc., and FMC Corporation.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry is 3.85B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 14.68K to 40.31B. CTVA holds the highest valuation in this group at 40.31B. The lowest valued company is CGSI at 14.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. BLONF experienced the highest price growth at 51%, while LVRO experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Chemicals: Agricultural Industry was 6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -21% and the average quarterly volume growth was 17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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MOSDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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General Information

a producer of phosphate and potash

Industry ChemicalsAgricultural

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Chemicals Agricultural
Address
101 East Kennedy Boulevard
Phone
+1 800 918-8270
Employees
14049
Web
https://www.mosaicco.com
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