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Sarah Patel's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 07, 2023

MSFT's +20.54% quarterly gain suggests potential uptrend continuation.

In the latest quarterly performance review, Microsoft (MSFT) outshined others by surging +20.54% to $310.65 per share, securing a spot in the top quarterly gainers' list. According to A.I.dvisor's analysis of 937 stocks in the Packaged Software Industry, only 29.56% of the stocks demonstrated an uptrend, while the remaining 70.44% followed a downward trend. However, based on 233 similar cases where MSFT's price escalated over 15% within three months, the odds of an Uptrend continuation for MSFT are at 74%.

Moreover, the Momentum Indicator for MSFT has turned positive, hinting towards a new upward trend. The move above the 0 level on April 26, 2023, indicates a potential shift, prompting traders to consider buying MSFT's stock or call options. With Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identifying 70 out of 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive and the stock moved higher in the following days, the odds of a move higher are also at 74%

Investors looking for insights into market trends may be interested in the relationship between Microsoft (MSFT) and F5 Networks (FFIV). According to A.I.dvisor, over the past year, MSFT and FFIV have shown a strong correlation, moving in sync 77% of the time. This could mean that if MSFT's stock price rises, there is a good chance that FFIV's stock price could also increase. By considering these correlations, investors may be able to make more informed decisions about their portfolios.

Related Ticker: MSFT

MSFT's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MSFT turned positive on May 25, 2023. Looking at past instances where MSFT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSFT advanced for three days, in of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 374 cases where MSFT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MSFT moved out of overbought territory on June 06, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 55 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSFT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MSFT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 25, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MSFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.739) is normal, around the industry mean (31.602). P/E Ratio (36.101) is within average values for comparable stocks, (167.831). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.452) is also within normal values, averaging (4.163). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.068) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.019) is also within normal values, averaging (77.338).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 7.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 2.48T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.48T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 14%, and the average quarterly price growth was 36%. LQAVF experienced the highest price growth at 155%, while TMNA experienced the biggest fall at -82%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -69%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a developer of software and harware products

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
One Microsoft Way
Phone
+1 425 882-8080
Employees
221000
Web
https://www.microsoft.com
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MSFT and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MSFT has been closely correlated with MANH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MSFT jumps, then MANH could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MSFT
1D Price
Change %
MSFT100%
-0.67%
MANH - MSFT
74%
Closely correlated
-0.16%
ADBE - MSFT
74%
Closely correlated
-0.30%
FFIV - MSFT
74%
Closely correlated
+0.17%
ANSS - MSFT
74%
Closely correlated
-0.13%
INTU - MSFT
73%
Closely correlated
+1.28%
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