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published in Blogs
Jun 29, 2023

MTDR's Upward Swing: Sector Rotation Strategy Yields 20.11% Return

Triumph of Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Amplifies MTDR Returns to 20.11%

In the grand arena of financial markets, the swing trading strategy has long been revered for its pragmatic, dynamic nature. Acting as an intermediate between long-term and short-term strategies, swing trading provides a distinct blend of both worlds. The recent success of the Sector Rotation Strategy, an amalgamation of Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA), affirms this statement, as it has contributed a robust return of 20.11% for MTDR.

Matador Resources Company (MTDR), an independent energy company, primarily known for its exploration, development, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States, has seen a significant swing in its financial fortunes. The linchpin of this success, as suggested by financial trends, is the prudent adoption of the Sector Rotation Strategy.

The mechanism of the Sector Rotation Strategy, rooted in TA&FA, revolves around capitalizing on the cyclical nature of different sectors in the economy. Through keen observation and understanding of economic indicators, market sentiments, and industry-specific factors, this strategy enables investors to transition their investments from one sector to another, depending on which is projected to perform better.

MTDR has been a beneficiary of this astute approach. On June 06, 2023, the company witnessed a pivotal change in trend direction as it moved above its 50-day moving average. This shift indicates a transition from a previously bearish phase to a bullish one, a positive sign for prospective investors and a testament to the efficacy of the Sector Rotation Strategy.

The upward trend signaled by the movement above the 50-day moving average underscores the effectiveness of this strategic approach. MTDR's upward trajectory also reflects the potential of the energy sector, which seems poised for strong growth, thereby showcasing the efficacy of a well-executed Sector Rotation Strategy.

It is noteworthy that the success of this strategy does not happen in a vacuum; it is a testament to the keen insight and analysis of market trends, economic indicators, and sector-specific factors. These elements of TA&FA, combined with a deep understanding of the company's fundamental strength, all contribute to the successful execution of the Sector Rotation Strategy.

The 20.11% return generated by MTDR signifies the significant potential and agility of the Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy. It underlines the benefit of blending both Technical and Fundamental Analysis in driving smart investment decisions and achieving superior returns. Moreover, it emphasizes the ever-evolving nature of the financial markets, where strategic adaptation, timely decisions, and keen understanding are the keys to financial success.

Related Ticker: MTDR

MTDR sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for MTDR moved above the 200-day moving average on August 24, 2023. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MTDR's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTDR advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MTDR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 297 cases where MTDR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 15, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTDR as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTDR turned negative on September 08, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

MTDR moved below its 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTDR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTDR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.011) is normal, around the industry mean (6.197). P/E Ratio (7.519) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.491). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.283) is also within normal values, averaging (2.534). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.125) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.512) is also within normal values, averaging (120.438).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Pioneer Natural Resource Co (NYSE:PXD), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Marathon Oil Corp (NYSE:MRO).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 3.71B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 144.98B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 144.98B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. UNRG experienced the highest price growth at 85%, while GRVE experienced the biggest fall at -56%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -57%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which explores, develops, produces, and acquires oil and natural gas resources

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil And Gas Production
Address
5400 LBJ Freeway
Phone
+1 972 371-5200
Employees
360
Web
https://www.matadorresources.com
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MTDR and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTDR has been closely correlated with SM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTDR jumps, then SM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MTDR
1D Price
Change %
MTDR100%
+1.94%
SM - MTDR
88%
Closely correlated
+2.88%
MUR - MTDR
86%
Closely correlated
+3.11%
MRO - MTDR
85%
Closely correlated
+1.72%
CPE - MTDR
85%
Closely correlated
+2.78%
PR - MTDR
85%
Closely correlated
+3.27%
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