Navigating Volatility: AI Swing Trader Secures 49.19% Annual Return for Tesla (TSLA)
Volatility is a common occurrence in the stock market, but artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to cut through the noise and identify profitable opportunities. This has been demonstrated clearly by the AI-powered Swing Trader: Downtrend Protection (TA) strategy, which generated an impressive 49.19% return for Tesla (TSLA) over the past year.
Market Cap Patterns in the Motor Vehicles Industry
Tesla is part of the Motor Vehicles Industry, which has an average market capitalization of $31.31B. This average is heavily influenced by Tesla's substantial market cap, which sits at $813.29B, making it the highest valued company in the group. On the other end of the scale, NVYAF holds the lowest valuation at just 2.87M.
Exploring Price Movements
The average weekly price growth across the Motor Vehicles Industry has been negative, standing at -4%. Despite this, the average monthly price growth achieved a 3% rise, while the quarterly growth was a bit higher at 5%. It's worth noting that HYZN experienced the most significant price growth, a healthy 28%, while FFIE took the biggest hit, falling by a staggering -50%.
Volume Analysis
When it comes to volume growth, the Motor Vehicles Industry has seen a considerable weekly drop of -38%. However, the monthly and quarterly volume growths reveal a different picture with increases of 47% and 99% respectively.
Understanding Tesla's Recent Performance
Tesla's market cap has recently taken a hit, dropping by $25.4B, with a -3.03% decrease in its share price to $256.6, bringing its total market cap to $813.3B. This dip is amidst an industry landscape where our A.I.dvisor detects that 78.95% (or 75 stocks) are currently in a downtrend, compared to only 21.05% (or 20 stocks) experiencing an uptrend, among the 95 stocks in the Motor Vehicles industry.
Despite the volatility and downward pressure within the Motor Vehicles Industry, the AI Swing Trader: Downtrend Protection (TA) strategy has triumphed, securing a solid 49.19% return for Tesla over the last year. By leveraging AI's ability to analyze and interpret complex market dynamics, we've seen first-hand how AI can be a potent tool for traders seeking to navigate an ever-changing market landscape. As the field of AI continues to evolve, so does its potential to shape successful trading strategies.
Aroon Indicator for TSLA shows an upward move is likely
TSLA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 09, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 309 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 309 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TSLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TSLA moved out of overbought territory on October 01, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on October 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 79%.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.905) is normal, around the industry mean (6.019). P/E Ratio (40.726) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.031). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.067) is also within normal values, averaging (5.553). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (6.305) is also within normal values, averaging (76.807).
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General Information
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles