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Jun 26, 2023

Navigating Volatility: AI Swing Trader Secures 49.19% Annual Return for Tesla (TSLA)

Volatility is a common occurrence in the stock market, but artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to cut through the noise and identify profitable opportunities. This has been demonstrated clearly by the AI-powered Swing Trader: Downtrend Protection (TA) strategy, which generated an impressive 49.19% return for Tesla (TSLA) over the past year.

Market Cap Patterns in the Motor Vehicles Industry

Tesla is part of the Motor Vehicles Industry, which has an average market capitalization of $31.31B. This average is heavily influenced by Tesla's substantial market cap, which sits at $813.29B, making it the highest valued company in the group. On the other end of the scale, NVYAF holds the lowest valuation at just 2.87M.

Exploring Price Movements

The average weekly price growth across the Motor Vehicles Industry has been negative, standing at -4%. Despite this, the average monthly price growth achieved a 3% rise, while the quarterly growth was a bit higher at 5%. It's worth noting that HYZN experienced the most significant price growth, a healthy 28%, while FFIE took the biggest hit, falling by a staggering -50%.

Volume Analysis

When it comes to volume growth, the Motor Vehicles Industry has seen a considerable weekly drop of -38%. However, the monthly and quarterly volume growths reveal a different picture with increases of 47% and 99% respectively.

Understanding Tesla's Recent Performance

Tesla's market cap has recently taken a hit, dropping by $25.4B, with a -3.03% decrease in its share price to $256.6, bringing its total market cap to $813.3B. This dip is amidst an industry landscape where our A.I.dvisor detects that 78.95% (or 75 stocks) are currently in a downtrend, compared to only 21.05% (or 20 stocks) experiencing an uptrend, among the 95 stocks in the Motor Vehicles industry.

Despite the volatility and downward pressure within the Motor Vehicles Industry, the AI Swing Trader: Downtrend Protection (TA) strategy has triumphed, securing a solid 49.19% return for Tesla over the last year. By leveraging AI's ability to analyze and interpret complex market dynamics, we've seen first-hand how AI can be a potent tool for traders seeking to navigate an ever-changing market landscape. As the field of AI continues to evolve, so does its potential to shape successful trading strategies.

Related Ticker: TSLA

TSLA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 21, 2023

TSLA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 21, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 26 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 22, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TSLA as a result. In of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on September 22, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TSLA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 13, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 334 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.198) is normal, around the industry mean (6.743). TSLA has a moderately high P/E Ratio (69.930) as compared to the industry average of (20.678). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.079) is also within normal values, averaging (5.664). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (9.058) is also within normal values, averaging (52.056).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 33.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.49M to 783.94B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 783.94B. The lowest valued company is EVTGF at 2.49M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 117%. CJET experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while FFIE experienced the biggest fall at -37%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: -32 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of electric sports cars

Industry MotorVehicles

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
1 Tesla Road
Phone
+1 512 516-8177
Employees
127855
Web
https://www.tesla.com
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TSLA and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSLA has been loosely correlated with RIVN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TSLA jumps, then RIVN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TSLA
1D Price
Change %
TSLA100%
+0.86%
RIVN - TSLA
57%
Loosely correlated
+2.62%
LCID - TSLA
54%
Loosely correlated
+0.39%
RACE - TSLA
49%
Loosely correlated
-0.05%
HMC - TSLA
45%
Loosely correlated
-0.06%
TM - TSLA
45%
Loosely correlated
-1.21%
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