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Jul 20, 2022

Netflix (NFLX, $214.60) loses less subscribers than expected; beats Q2 earnings forecast, despite revenue miss

Netflix lost -970,000 paid subscribers over the three months ending in June , less than half of the 2 million loss that the Street had expected.

The video streaming behemoth’s earnings for the quarter came in at $3.12 per share, well above the Street consensus forecast of $2.97 per share. The figure is +5% higher from the year-ago quarter.

Revenues climbed +8.6% from the year-ago quarter to  $7.97 billion, but missing the $8.035 billion forecast.

"We have high exposure to this unprecedented appreciation in the USD because nearly 60% of our revenue comes from outside the US and swings in F/X have a large flow through to operating profit as most of our expenses are in USD and don't benefit from a stronger USD," the company mentioned in a letter to shareholders.

Netflix expects to add around 1 million subs over the quarter ending in September, compared to the market's 1.8 million forecast. Its earnings forecast of $2.14 per share for the third quarter is also was below the consensus expectation of $2.72 per share.

Related Ticker: NFLX

NFLX in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on March 01, 2024

NFLX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 49 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NFLX moved out of overbought territory on March 05, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NFLX turned negative on March 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 01, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NFLX as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 283 cases where NFLX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.920) is normal, around the industry mean (5.470). P/E Ratio (51.065) is within average values for comparable stocks, (90.879). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.889) is also within normal values, averaging (2.822). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.191) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.190) is also within normal values, averaging (27.350).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Paramount Global (NASDAQ:PARA), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 9B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 134 to 262.83B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 262.83B. The lowest valued company is LRDG at 134.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. ENTEF experienced the highest price growth at 62%, while LDSN experienced the biggest fall at -65%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was 15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 84
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of online movie rental subscription services

Industry MoviesEntertainment

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Cable Or Satellite TV
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