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Jul 20, 2022
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Netflix (NFLX, $214.60) loses less subscribers than expected; beats Q2 earnings forecast, despite revenue miss

Netflix (NFLX, $214.60) loses less subscribers than expected; beats Q2 earnings forecast, despite revenue miss

Netflix lost -970,000 paid subscribers over the three months ending in June , less than half of the 2 million loss that the Street had expected.

The video streaming behemoth’s earnings for the quarter came in at $3.12 per share, well above the Street consensus forecast of $2.97 per share. The figure is +5% higher from the year-ago quarter.

Revenues climbed +8.6% from the year-ago quarter to  $7.97 billion, but missing the $8.035 billion forecast.

"We have high exposure to this unprecedented appreciation in the USD because nearly 60% of our revenue comes from outside the US and swings in F/X have a large flow through to operating profit as most of our expenses are in USD and don't benefit from a stronger USD," the company mentioned in a letter to shareholders.

Netflix expects to add around 1 million subs over the quarter ending in September, compared to the market's 1.8 million forecast. Its earnings forecast of $2.14 per share for the third quarter is also was below the consensus expectation of $2.72 per share.

Related Ticker: NFLX

NFLX's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NFLX turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where NFLX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NFLX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 30 of 39 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 53 cases where NFLX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NFLX as a result. In 49 of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +6.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in 217 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

NFLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Aroon Indicator for NFLX entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.757) is normal, around the industry mean (12.833). P/E Ratio (19.632) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.183) is also within normal values, averaging (2.376). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.798) is also within normal values, averaging (2.932).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NFLX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Skydance Corporation (NYSE:SKYD), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 16.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 293 to 264.04B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 264.04B. The lowest valued company is BLMZF at 293.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. RDIB experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while MPU experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -39%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 15% and the average quarterly volume growth was -21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 6 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of online movie rental subscription services

Industry MoviesEntertainment

Industry
Cable Or Satellite TV
Address
121 Albright Way
Phone
+1 408 540-3700
Employees
16000
Web
https://www.netflix.com
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