GET DAILY SIGNALSNetflix (NFLX, $313.34) shares decline, following Wells Fargo downgrade on cost concerns
Shares of Netflix were falling Monday, following a rating downgrade on the stock.
Wells Fargo Securities lowered its rating on the video streaming company's stock to under-perform. It also slashed its price target on the shares to $265 a share, from $308.
Wells Fargo analyst Steven Cahall suggested that Netflix could be incurring a steep cost in its fight for market share in the cut-throat video streaming industry. The company could be overpaying for subscribers, according to the analyst. Cahall indicated that Netflix may be able to meet the Street's expectations for subscriber growth, but the massive spending towards chasing the growth is likely to pressurize the company's cash flow. Netflix's cumulative free-cash flow might fall short of analyst expectations by as much as $18 billion between 2019 and 2025, according to Cahall . Netflix won't be able to generate positive earnings on a per subscriber basis until 2022, per Cahall's analysis.
Competition in the streaming business is getting only getting hotter. Walt Disney recently launched its own streaming service, Disney+. Apple is also making its presence felt in the market with its Apple TV+.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
NFLX's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NFLX turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where NFLX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NFLX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 27 of 38 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 37 of 54 cases where NFLX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NFLX as a result. In 49 of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +6.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in 217 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
NFLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for NFLX entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.757) is normal, around the industry mean (12.833). P/E Ratio (19.632) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.183) is also within normal values, averaging (2.376). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.798) is also within normal values, averaging (2.932).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NFLX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of online movie rental subscription services
Industry MoviesEntertainment
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