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Feb 21, 2019
Newmont Mining (NEM, $35.39) beats Q4 earnings estimates, but full-year sales suffer

Newmont Mining (NEM, $35.39) beats Q4 earnings estimates, but full-year sales suffer

Newmont Mining Corp.’s fourth quarter earnings edged past analysts’ expectations, on the back of strong gold and copper output coupled with operational cost reduction.

The mining company raked-in earnings of 40 cents a share in the quarter, compared to analysts’ expected 25 cents (based on a FactSet survey). Adjusted total earnings of $214 million was higher than the year-ago quarter’s $206 million.

Newmont’s revenue increased to $2.05 billion from the year-ago quarter’s $1.94 billion, with attributable gold production rising +8% year-over-year in the quarter.

For the full year 2018, Newmont’s adjusted earnings came in at $718 million (or $1.35 a share), lower than 2017’s $774 million (or $1.45 a share). Revenue for the full year declined to $7.25 billion compared to $7.38 billion in 2017 – something that the company attributed to lower realized average metal prices partly offsetting the increase in gold output.

Related Ticker: NEM

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


NEM's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for NEM moved out of overbought territory on August 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 32 of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 70%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NEM as a result. In 51 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NEM turned negative on September 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 59 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.

NEM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NEM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Aroon Indicator for NEM entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for NEM moved above the 200-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +1.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NEM advanced for three days, in 254 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

NEM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NEM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.470) is normal, around the industry mean (3.888). P/E Ratio (14.634) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.261). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.781) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.144) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Newmont Corp (NYSE:NEM), Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (NYSE:WPM), Gold Fields Ltd (NYSE:GFI), Kinross Gold Corp (NYSE:KGC), Pan American Silver Corp (NYSE:PAAS), SSR Mining (NASDAQ:SSRM).

Industry description

The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Precious Metals Industry is 12.48B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.07K to 127.95B. NEMCL holds the highest valuation in this group at 127.95B. The lowest valued company is GXMLF at 2.07K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Precious Metals Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -11%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. NAMM experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while AUXX experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Precious Metals Industry was -29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -5% and the average quarterly volume growth was -41%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 79
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 62
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a company which explores and mines for gold and silver

Industry PreciousMetals

Industry
Precious Metals
Address
6900 E Layton Avenue
Phone
+1 303 863-7414
Employees
44100
Web
https://www.newmont.com
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Newmont Mining (NEM, $35.39) beats Q4 earnings estimates, but full-year sales suffer