Nike (NKE, $138.99) beats Q3 2021 earnings expectations; but sales hurt by pandemic
Sneaker giant Nike reported third-quarter earnings that topped analysts’ expectations. However, sales was hurt by port congestion in the U.S. and store closures in Europe.
Adjusted earnings for the quarter came in at 90 cents per share, compared to 76 cents expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv. Revenue increased to $10.36 billion from the year-ago quarter’s $10.1 billion; analysts forecast $11.02 billion.
Revenue in North America fell -10% year over year, hurt by shipment delays.
In Europe, Middle East and Africa region, sales at its physical retail stores decreased due to pandemic-related restrictions. However, online sales in those markets grew 60% in the latest period. According to Nike, about 60% of its stores in the region are open today, while some operate on reduced hours.
In Greater China, sales rose +51%. This is probably due to the region’s relatively quick recovery path from the pandemic.
For fiscal 2021, Nike projects revenue to rise by a low-to-mid-teens percentage from the prior year. Analysts had been expecting revenue growth of 15.9%, according to Refinitiv.
Nike expects fourth-quarter sales to grow +75% year over year, compared to analysts forecast of +64.3%.
NKE sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
NKE saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 03, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NKE moved out of overbought territory on October 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 04, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NKE as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NKE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NKE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
NKE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NKE advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 253 cases where NKE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 83%.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NKE's P/B Ratio (9.862) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.051). P/E Ratio (27.224) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.555). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.032) is also within normal values, averaging (1.991). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.762) is also within normal values, averaging (1.481).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NKE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NKE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a maker of athletic footwear and apparel
Industry ApparelFootwear