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Jun 25, 2021

Nike (NKE, $153.99) beats fiscal Q4 earnings and sales expectations

On Thursday, Nike reported fiscal fourth-quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations, on the back of record revenue in North America.

The sneaker maker’s earnings came in at 93 cents, crushing the  51 cents expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

Revenue rose to $12.34 billion from $6.31 billion a year earlier, exceeding estimates for $11.01 billion. Digital sales grew +41% year-over-year,  and were up +147% compared with the same period in 2019.

In North America, the company’s largest market, sales more than doubled to a record $5.38 billion from a year earlier when the retail industry was hard hit by the Covid pandemic.

Sales in Greater China rose +17%. “Building on our 40-year history in Greater China, we continue to invest in serving consumers with the best products Nike has to offer in locally relevant ways,” CFO Matt Friend said during a post-earnings conference call.

For fiscal year 2022, Nike is projecting revenue to grow a low double-digit percentage, and to exceed $50 billion. Analysts were expecting revenue of $48.5 billion.

Related Ticker: NKE

NKE in +2.87% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on October 16, 2024

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where NKE advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NKE moved out of overbought territory on October 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NKE as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NKE turned negative on October 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

NKE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NKE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NKE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NKE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NKE's P/B Ratio (9.862) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.051). P/E Ratio (27.224) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.555). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.032) is also within normal values, averaging (1.991). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.762) is also within normal values, averaging (1.481).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NKE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NKE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nike (null:NKE), Skechers USA (null:SKX), VF Corp (null:VFC), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (null:GIII), Canada Goose Holdings (null:GOOS), Lakeland Industries (null:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 6.68B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 140.24B. NKE holds the highest valuation in this group at 140.24B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. CDGXF experienced the highest price growth at 100%, while GRNL experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was -2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -36% and the average quarterly volume growth was 23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
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NKE
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published General Information

General Information

a maker of athletic footwear and apparel

Industry ApparelFootwear

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
One Bowerman Drive
Phone
+1 503 671-6453
Employees
83700
Web
https://www.nike.com
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