Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 16, 2021

Nikola(NKLA, $15.80) files to sell $100 million shares

Nikola  has filed to sell $100 million worth of shares in a secondary offering.

The proceeds from the stock sale will be used for general corporate purposes, such as potentially providing funds to complete the company's Arizona manufacturing facility, and for developing electric and fuel cell commercial and hydrogen-station infrastructure. 

Last month, Nikola revealed details about its hydrogen fuel cell electric commercial truck program. It unveiled trucks with ranges from 500 miles to 900 miles.  It has plans to introduce fuel-cell-electric-vehicle variants of the Nikola Tre Cabover, the Nikola Tre FCEV and the Nikola Two FCEV Sleeper in the North American market.

The company had posted its fourth-quarter results late last month, that showed a narrower-than-expected adjusted quarterly loss.

 

Related Ticker: NKLA

NKLA's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for NKLA entered a downward trend on May 17, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 227 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 227 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 10, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NKLA as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NKLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NKLA just turned positive on April 20, 2023. Looking at past instances where NKLA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NKLA advanced for three days, in of 176 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NKLA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.750) is normal, around the industry mean (1.980). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.125). NKLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.695). NKLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.038). P/S Ratio (4.669) is also within normal values, averaging (110.618).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NKLA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NKLA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Deere & Company (NYSE:DE).

Industry description

The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry is 8.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 223.29K to 109.15B. CAT holds the highest valuation in this group at 109.15B. The lowest valued company is OSRS at 223.29K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. FRRVF experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while UGRO experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -60% and the average quarterly volume growth was 570%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
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