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published in Blogs
Aug 26, 2020

Nio (NIO, $20.51) gets ratings boost, price target hike from UBS analyst

Nio  got a rating upgrade from UBS analyst Paul Gong.

Gong raised his rating on the electric-car maker to neutral from sell. The analyst also hiked his share-price target to $16.30 from $1.

Gong cited the global demand for electric vehicles and Nio’s performance behind his optimism. Operational improvements in 2020 around sales volume was “well ahead of our previous expectations,” he wrote.

However, Gong did express concerns over what he perceives is Nio’s “elevated” valuation. “Limited visibility on growth, execution and competition mean a wide range of outcomes are still possible,” Gong noted.

Tickeron's analysis shows : 

NIO's Aroon indicator reaches into Uptrend on August 20, 2020

For traders, this could mean going long on the ticker or exploring call options in the next month. In 88 of 96 cases where NIO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Current price $20.52 is above $13.22 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 07/24/20 - 08/25/20, the price experienced a +51% Uptrend. During the week of 08/18/20 - 08/25/20, the stock enjoyed a +25% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on August 21, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 23 of 28 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 82%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where NIO's MACD histogram became positive, in 12 of 14 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 86%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NIO advanced for three days, in 103 of 116 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Indicator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 14 of 16 cases where NIO's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 88%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 82%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.88 to 1.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 10 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NIO's P/B Ratio (-25.80) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (5.80). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (197.95). NIO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.40). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.88) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.87) is also within normal values, averaging (35635.43).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NIO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NIO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: NIO

NIO sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

NIO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NIO moved out of overbought territory on October 03, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NIO as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NIO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NIO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NIO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NIO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for NIO entered a downward trend on November 01, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for NIO moved above the 200-day moving average on October 18, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NIO advanced for three days, in of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.689) is normal, around the industry mean (6.019). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.031). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.553). NIO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (1.009) is also within normal values, averaging (76.807).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NIO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NIO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 33.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.49M to 559.85B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 559.85B. The lowest valued company is EVTGF at 2.49M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. XPNGF experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while VEV experienced the biggest fall at -67%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was 27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 79
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TECHNOLOGY ETFs,CHINA COMPANIES
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

a manufacturer of electric cars

Industry MotorVehicles

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
No. 56 AnTuo Road
Phone
+86 2169082018
Employees
26763
Web
https://www.nio.com
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